Adam Ronis
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There are 5 games in the NBA on Friday night with a lot of stars in action. The slate features Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ja Morant, Stephen Curry, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Pascal Siakam. Three games have a line of 5 points or fewer and 3 games have a total of at least 235 points, with the Bucks-Pacers game the highest at 239.5 points. Here are my picks for tonight.
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Draymond Green over 23.5 points+rebounds+assists (-105)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
The Warriors have gone small with the starting lineup, putting Kevon Looney on the bench and inserting Jordan Poole into the starting lineup. Draymond Green has benefited statistically, especially with rebounding. Green has at least 13 rebounds in 3 straight games and he tends to become more of a playmaker with at least 7 assists in 5 consecutive games. The Warriors forward has gone over this total in 4 straight games with 33, 33, 27 and 28 PRAs. The teams played in Toronto on December 18 and Green had 17 points, 9 rebounds and 5 assists. Green is averaging 9.7 rebounds and 7.4 assists per game in January. The teams are ranked 16th and 18th in defensive efficiency and the game total is 234.5 points.
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Klay Thompson over 21.5 points (-113)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
The Warriors play much better at home and the same goes for Thompson. The Warriors are 18-6 at home and 6-18 on the road. Thompson averages 23.2 points at home compared to 17.9 points on the road. He has gone over this total in 10 of the last 11 home games and Golden State hosts Toronto. Thompson has scored at least 24 points in 9 of the last 11 games. Toronto has been one of the worst teams at defending three-pointers, ranking 3rd-worst in the NBA at 37.4 percent. Thompson averages 10.2 three-point attempts per game and is shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc, including 43.2 percent in January.
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