Best NBA player prop bets for today, 12/14: Mobley keeps his streak going

Cleveland Cavaliers sophomore Evan Mobley
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Germantas Kneita


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Like most Lithuanians, I started watching basketball from the age of six. I'm based out in London and played basketball at the University of Lincoln here in the UK. I had always had an interest in the NBA but things really took off in the summer of 2010. That year Linas Kleiza led Lithuania to 3rd place at the World Championships and signed with the Toronto Raptors to replace the departing Chris Bosh. I've been a Raptors fan since that day and I've not missed a game since. I've been handicapping games for more than a decade, specializing in player props. For Germantas Kneita media enquiries, please email
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The NBA has a great 10 game slate in store for us on Wednesday night. Among the teams in action will be the defending champions Golden State Warriors who travel to take on the Indiana Pacers. We also have 2 nationally televised games with the New York Knicks taking on the Chicago Bulls. That is followed by the Minnesota Timberwolves traveling to take on the Los Angeles Clippers.

Take a looks at all of our NBA picks, but for now let’s dive into my player prop selections.

Evan Mobley Over 8.5 rebounds (-136)

Over the last 10 games Evan Mobley has been averaging 11.1 rebounds per game for the Cleveland Cavaliers. He should have a great chance of reaching similar numbers tonight against the Dallas Mavericks, too. Up against him will most likely be Dorian Finney-Smith. The Mavericks’ forward is making just 33.3% of his 3-point attempts this season. That should allow Mobley to sag off and not mark him as tightly on the perimeter, improving his rebounding position. He looks bound to be one of the primary help defenders for when Luka Doncic drives into the paint, continuously placing him in and around the rim. Considering he has managed double-digit rebounds in 5 of 6 games this month, this does not seem to be the game to expect him to buck the trend on.

Read our full predictions for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks

Bam Adebayo Over 10.5 Rebounds (-106)

The Oklahoma City Thunder currently give up the most rebounds per game in the NBA due to them having an undersized frontcourt. They are also 4th in the league in pace. Bam Adebayo will be the one to benefit the most from this tonight. He is averaging 12 rebounds per game over the last week and will enjoy a size advantage on the inside. With Jimmy Butler unavailable here, too, Adebayo should have less competition for these boards from his own teammates. Being one of the more athletic centers in the NBA, Adebayo should have no issues adapting to an up-and-down game, which should help him see major minutes tonight. Back him to have a big rebounding performance as a result.

Be sure to check out our full Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder predictions

Jusuf Nurkic Over 25.5 points + rebounds (-115)

Without Jakob Poeltl and potentially Zach Collins tonight, the San Antonio Spurs could find themselves short of bodies in the paint. That should encourage Jusuf Nurkic to be very aggressive. The Bosnian center has hit the over on this line in 3 of 5 games this month. Over the last 10 games the Spurs are 25th in opponent rebounds per game and have allowed the joint most points in the paint. They are tied for the 6th fewest blocks per game over that stretch too. It is a combination of factors that points to a big scoring night for Nurkic. Look for him to dominate the paint on both ends of the floor, with second chance points helping him inflate his stat line.

Wednesday’s NBA Mega Parlay has +950 odds!

Fred VanVleet Over 6.5 assists (-106)

With the Toronto Raptors leading the league in fast break points per game, and the Kings 6th in terms of pace, we should be in for a fast game. That will probably result in plenty of opportunities for VanVleet to rack up assists. The Kings are 29th in the league in blocks per game, meaning they may need to send additional bodies into the paint to help stop VanVleet on his drives. That should create great kick out opportunities for the guard. While the Raptors shooters have been far from efficient scoring the ball from the perimeter, they may find themselves with additional space . The Kings are 26th in the NBA in opponent 3-point percentage, so look for more of VanVleet’s passes to be knocked down. That would bode well for the guard, especially considering that he has hit this line in 3 of the last 5 games.

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