JutPicks
NBA Thursday presents us with a 6-game slate headlined by Draymond Green and the Warriors taking on Dillon Brooks and the Memphis Grizzlies. All eyes will be on the two lockup defenders after words were exchanged online yesterday. Let’s dive into my favorite NBA player props including must-watch television between the Warriors and Grizzlies.
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Tyus Jones over 27.5 points+rebounds+assists (-105)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
With all the buzz around Ja Morant off the court, Tyus Jones has flourished as the starting point guard for the Memphis Grizzlies. Jones was already well-known as arguably the best backup point guard in the league. The Duke product is having the best season of his career and is showcasing why he deserves to be paid $15 million a year. In the 2 games that Jones has started in place of Morant this week, he registered PRAs of 40 and 22. On Sunday, Jones had a masterclass performance in the 3rd quarter. He scored 20 points alone in the quarter, but all for the Grizzlies to blow a 25+ point lead to the Los Angeles Clippers.
This matchup against the Golden State Warriors suits Jones well. It’ll be a fast-paced game where he can push the ball to guys like Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. in transition. In a similar game against the Thunder, the Warriors allowed 137 points including guard Josh Giddey to dish out 17 assists and score 17 points on Tuesday night. Jones is fully capable of producing a similar performance. In 11 games without Morant this season, Jones has surpassed 28 points, rebounds, and assists in 6 of them with 4 coming at home. Jones is no secret anymore and will look to continue to prove that he is a top-20 point guard in this league on a national stage against the Warriors on TNT.
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Domantas Sabonis over 0.5 three-pointers made (+150)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
All it takes is 1 for us to cash here. The New York Knicks were exposed on Sunday Night against the Boston Celtics, who played a 5-man out offense which resulted in Celtics big man Al Horford scoring 6 three-pointers. Sabonis will never have that volume from behind the arc. He’ll thrive in the pick-and-roll with De’Aaron Fox and occasionally fade and knock down a jumper. That is what we’re hoping for.
A glaring stat when looking at Sabonis is his home splits shooting from 3. He shoots 46% from the three-point at home compared to 25% on the road. He’s made at least 1 three-pointer at home in 14 of 32 games, including his last 2.
This will be a fun one where many possibilities are on the table. Look for Sabonis to stretch the floor and have Knicks rim protector Mitchell Robinson guard him on the perimeter. Expect Robinson to stay in the paint on many occasions with speedy point guard De’Aaron Fox pushing the tempo.
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