Best NBA player prop bets for today, 4/30: Draymond Green fights off elimination

Draymond Green and Jordan Poole of the Golden State Warriors talk during a game.
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The best two words in sports will be heard leading up to the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings matchup — Game 7. This will be the only series of the NBA first round to make it to 7 games, while the New York Knicks will host the Miami Heat at 1:00 pm ET to tip off their second round series. Let’s dive into the best NBA player props, and don’t forget to check out our NBA mega parlay too!

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Kyle Lowry (LAL) Under 15.5 points + rebounds + assists (-113)

Line available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.

The passing of the torch occurred in Miami. Kyle Lowry has given up the reins of the point-guard position to Gabe Vincent. Vincent was a big part of the Heat’s success in the first-round series win against the Milwaukee Bucks. He scored the second-most points for the Heat in Game 5 and had a +/- of +15. Meanwhile, Lowry played a series low in minutes and combined for only 13 PRA.

This is more about Vincent’s role and play as of late than Lowry. They can’t play together because of their size and Vincent gives more than Lowry does at this point in his career. He’ll be key in being efficient on offense against a stingy New York Knicks defense that allowed only 94 points per game in their 1st round series against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The Heat offense was clicking in the first round, but not thanks to Lowry, who stayed under this line in 4 of the 5 games. Lowry is projected to see less than 20 minutes tonight. Even in that time, production will be hard to come by in this defensive-minded matchup and a potential defensive assignment of Jalen Brunson. He headlines our top NBA player prop under in the Heat-Knicks Game 1.

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Draymond Green (GSW) Over 22.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115)

Line available at BetMGM Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Draymond Green has been a staple of the Warriors dynasty and is not ready to give it all away. In his 11th season in the NBA, Green is still regarded as one of the most impactful players in the league. He can guard and play almost all 5 positions and he plays his role perfectly.

It has been an eventful series for Green. His suspension in Game 3 luckily didn’t cost the Warriors as they won. Other than that, he’s been a big part of the Warriors pushing this series to 7 games. He played only 25 minutes in the last game due to foul trouble and a blowout. But, when he’s on the court, he’s useful. He has gone over this line in 3 of the 5 games he has played in. Jordan Poole was awful in Game 6 and could see a decrease in minutes with the Warriors’ season on the line.

Expect an all-out performance from Green. He’ll be flying around on defense and can rack up assists for Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. Green should be able to get easy baskets on slips if the Kings hedge on Curry and Thompson’s ball screens.

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