Best Super Bowl long-shot bets for the 2020 NFL season

Kyler Murray running for the Arizona Cardinals
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Andrew Ortenberg

NFL· 1 year ago

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I'm an editor here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

With the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, it might seem like there are a dearth of things to wager on. Fortunately, NFL futures are here to help. There are plenty of ways to get down some cash on the 2020 NFL season many months in advance, with the Super Bowl being the most obvious option.

Super Bowl odds have been out since pretty much the moment last season ended, and now that most of free agency has taken place, we’ve got a good idea of where things stand. While there’s not going to be any value with taking some of the favorites this far out, now is a good time to hop on some more under the radar teams before oddsmakers and the betting public catch up closer to Week 1. With that in mind, here are the best long-shot Super Bowl bets:

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Cardinals 50/1

The Cardinals are currently +5000 at Draftkings, and they’re worth a flyer at that price. Kyler Murray showed plenty of flashes during his rookie season, and I think he could make a sophomore leap similar to the one we saw Lamar Jackson take this past year. Both players had a ton of talent, but took a little while to adjust to the NFL game. Jackson had his weapons upgraded in year-two, and Murray did as well. Arizona pulled off an unbelievable trade, adding Deandre Hopkins while giving up virtually nothing.

Murray now has one of the best receiving duos in the league at his disposal with Hopkins and Larry Fitzgerald, and he has a brilliant offensive mind as a coach in Kliff Kingsbury. They quietly have some talent on defense and they’ve made some great signings on that side of the ball like adding defensive tackle Jordan Phillips, who had 9.5 sacks last year. I don’t think the NFC West is as strong as most people think it is, and the Cards could legitimately make a Super Bowl run with their offensive upside. Murray also makes a lot of sense as a darkhorse MVP bet.

Chargers 50/1

The Chargers are also +5000 at Draftkings, and they’re the best value play in the AFC. On paper, they might have the best defense in the conference. The unit was really banged up last year as almost every player dealt with injuries at some point, but as long as they can stay healthy they’ll have an elite defense. With Derwin James, Casey Hayward, and Chris Harris Jr. in the secondary, it’s going to be virtually impossible to pass on them. They also signed defensive tackle Linval Joseph, giving them a great defensive front with Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram on either side of him.

They made some moves to bolster the offensive line as well, like trading for five-time Pro Bowl guard Trai Turner, or signing free agent offensive tackle Bryan Bulaga. They have great weapons, with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams at receiver and Hunter Henry at tight end. With Austin Ekeler coming out of the backfield, they can legitimately make a Super Bowl run even with Tyrod Taylor at quarterback. Just a couple of years ago, Taylor led a much less talented Bills team to the playoffs.

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