For the 3rd time this season we have the Milwaukee Bucks and Philadelphia 76ers clashing, this time round it’s a nationally televised game. Can the Sixers recover after an embarrassing loss to Charlotte on Monday? Or will the Bucks finally win one without Giannis Antetokounmpo?
Tip-off is set for 8 pm ET on NBC, I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay to make things a bit more interesting. We will have NBA Picks for every single game on Tuesday’s 7-game slate, be sure to check those out. Let’s dive into my bet now!
Joel Embiid 2+ Made Threes (+150)
AJ Green 3+ Made Threes (-172)
Tyrese Maxey to Score 25+ Points (-210)
Same Game Parlay odds: +499
Joel Embiid 2+ Made Threes (+150)
After an injury riddled start to the season and not much playing time over the first two months of play, Joel Embiid is playing at an extremely high level ever since the turn of the calendar year. Dare we say he’s starting to remind us of his MVP year? The big fella is putting up 28.9 points, 8.5 rebounds and 4 assists per game over his last 16 appearances, playing just 33.6 minutes per game. Not exactly the player who once upon a time put up more points per game than minutes, but at this stage of his career after he’s been through everything I think Embiid will take it. He has been very consistent in games against the Bucks over the years, averaging 26.9 points per game in the last 10 meetings. More importantly for our bet though, his three-ball has been falling at a very high efficiency at 42% in those games. He’s averaging 2.1 makes per game as well, while clearing this line in 6 of the 8 most recent meetings. At +150 odds I’ll happily take Embiid to drain a pair of deep shots here.
AJ Green 3+ Made Threes (-172)
Not having their best player at their disposal completely flips the script for the Milwaukee Bucks offensively. Players in lesser roles have an opportunity to shine, someone has to make up for the 28 points per game the Greek Freak is averaging this season. I’m looking at AJ Green to have an impact on Tuesday’s game against Philadelphia. He might be only the 7th leading scorer on this team, but he’s been a rather consistent shooter from downtown, especially over his last 9 games where he’s connecting on 41.2% of his attempts. He enters Tuesday’s game having made 3 threes in back-to-back games vs. the Thunder and Hawks. Only twice in his last 10 outings he’s failed to connect on 3 threes, while for the season he’s cleared this line 27 times in 40 games played (68%). That number has stayed relatively consistent in away games with him clearing the line 14 times in 21 games played (67%). With the 76ers ranking 6th for threes allowed to opposing shooting guards, I think it’s definitely worth including him in our bet here.
Tyrese Maxey to Score 25+ Points (-210)
After yesterday’s horror show in Charlotte and a season low 6 points on 3-for-12 shooting, I’m thinking we are in for a bounce back performance from Tyrese Maxey here. To put in perspective just how badly Maxey played yesterday, his season scoring average dropped by half a point and he no longer averages over 30 points per game. The Bucks are the ideal opponent for him to have a bounce back performance, just two games ago he dropped 54 against them on 18-for-30 from the field, while over the past 5 meetings he’s averaging 33.4 points per game. Giannis Antetokoumpo’s absence also helps Maxey as the path to the basket will be a lot easier with him no roaming the paint. Milwaukee has been one of the better paint protecting teams in the league this season, but their last 3 games have seen them fall off in that area allowing 6 more points per game than their season average. This team is clearly in limbo without their superstar now and I expect Maxey and co. to take full advantage.
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