Cleveland Browns 2019 Betting Predictions, Odds and Expert Best Bets

Photo of the pickswise logo
Photo of Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew Lowrimore

NFL · 3 years ago

Show Bio

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this.

Best Bet – Cleveland Browns Over 9 wins (-140)

Worst Bet – Cleveland Browns to win the Super Bowl (+1200)

The Browns are heading into the new season as probably the league’s most improved team. If you remember, in 2016 this team went 1-15. It was even worse in 2017, when they went 0-16 under the leadership of Hue Jackson. Then comes 2018. The Browns drafted Baker Mayfield and the hype surrounded them immediately. They showed a lot of improvement, going 7-8-1. The excitement is even more intense now that Odell Beckham Jr. has brought his talents to the city of Cleveland.

Beckham Jr. is not the only player to get excited about. The Browns also added Kareem Hunt this offseason, as well as pass-rusher Olivier Vernon. Of course, we know Hunt had quite a few off the field issues and therefore he will be suspended for the first 8 games of the season. While he is out, Nick Chubb will be the undisputed featured running back. Chubb is entering his sophomore season after a very successful rookie campaign. He racked up 996 yards on the ground and added 8 touchdowns. Chubb has proved he can handle a heavy workload and should be an excellent piece to this Browns offense. Once Hunt gets back, they’ll form a dangerous tandem.

Beckham Jr. will reunite with former LSU teammate Jarvis Landry in what is suddenly a stacked Cleveland receiving corp. This could be a deadly combo if they’re both used correctly, and only time will tell how this offense will mesh. Beckham Jr. is another player that has been criticized for some of his off the field antics, so it will be interesting to see how the Browns’ front office handles anything that may arise.

The Browns’ defense is interesting as well, as they added cornerback Greedy Williams with their first pick in the most recent draft. Williams will certainly add depth to the secondary, an area they were near the bottom of last season. Pair that with all the starters returning with more experience, and you have a defense that looks promising.

Lastly there is Mayfield. He had a successful rookie season and his game only looks like it will improve this year. Mayfield will have a lot more pressure on his back now that the Browns look like a contender in the division. If he can replicate his stats from last year and cut down on a few of his turnovers without letting the pressure get to him, the Browns will be a team to fear for the near future.

Cleveland Browns Win Total: O/U 9 Wins

The Browns ended last year with 7 wins, the most by the team since the 2014 season. Oddsmakers have their expected total set at 9 wins, meaning the Browns would have to have their first winning season since 2007 to break even on this prop. That might sound tough on the surface, but I do think they will improve on their 2018 season, and 9 wins should be easily attainable. Their schedule is tough, but with all the talent they have accumulated, getting at least a push seems likely.

I would lean towards the over. I feel they will get at least 9 wins.

Odds to make the playoffs:  Yes -140, No +110

The Browns narrowly missed the playoffs last season. With a retooled offense, they will look to take that next step and make the postseason. Keep in mind, we are talking about a franchise that has had only two winnings season since the year 2002. Obviously it is a much different time with different players, but I do not think I can back a franchise that is known for having some of the worst luck ever.

I would lean toward the ‘No’ with this prop. Until the Browns can prove they are worthy of making the postseason, I would be inclined to fade them in this spot. The pressure might prove too much to overcome late in the season if they’re making a push.

Odds to win AFC North: +125

For the first time in forever, the Browns are favored to win their division. Yes, you read that right, the Browns are a legit threat to win the AFC North. It makes me wonder if this is just because they added Odell Beckham Jr. or are the other teams in the division just that weak. Another thing to keep in mind is the Browns have not won an AFC North title since 1989. Most fans do not even know what it is like to win a title as it has been that long. Another fun fact is that only four players on the current Browns roster were alive when the Browns last won a division title. They are such a young team and it is hard to believe they will surpass the other teams in this division. The Steelers might not fall off as much as people expect them to, and the Ravens have a lot of talent.

As good as the Browns look on paper, their youth terrifies me. They could easily have struggles because of chemistry or just because there is a ton of ego on this team. I would look elsewhere in this division as there is more value on the more experienced teams.

Odds to win AFC Championship: +600

Sure, the Browns added several great players on the offensive side of the ball. However, they are still a young team and I do not see how an AFC Championship is realistic. They still must prove they can have a winning season before thinking about making a Super Bowl appearance. The Browns will be a better team than last year, but an AFC Championship is very unlikely.

It does not matter who the Browns have, they are not good enough to win the AFC, and oddsmakers are taking advantage of bettors who want to buy into the hype too easily with this line.

Odds to win Super Bowl 54: +1200

Like with the AFC Championship prop, a Super Bowl win is extremely unlikely. The NFC is loaded with great teams and the Chiefs and Patriots still stand in the way as likely Super Bowl contenders. I do not believe in any way that the Browns will be lifting the Lombardi Trophy.

Picking the Browns to win the Super Bowl is a huge risk considering they have not played in the playoffs in over a decade. It would be in your best interest to stay away from this play.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5+ on any NFL Pre-Game ML, Get $200 If Your Bet Wins

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any NFL pre-game ML

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Unibet

$100

Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

PointsBet

$800

Get 4x $200 In Free Bets

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,250

Get a $1,250 risk-free bet

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$500

Get Your First Bet Risk-Free Up To $500

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

DraftKings

$100

Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 in Free Bets With PointsBet's Second Chance

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.