College Football Week 11 parlay at mega +612 odds for Tuesday 11/7: Expect an ugly game in Buffalo

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Caleb Wilfinger


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Deputy Editor for Pickswise with years of experience handicapping and giving out winning picks. Lover of all US sports and Southampton FC. For Caleb Wilfinger media enquiries, please email

We finally have a trio of MACtion games on Tuesday night to help us move into Week 11 of the college football season. While the best matchups of the week are on Saturday, these games are compelling and have serious conference implications on the line for one of the most chaotic conferences in college football this season. These games might not be on everyone’s radar, but we can still win on them!

You can read all our college football predictions, but without any further ado, here’s my 3-leg NCAAF parlay with a potential payout of +612 odds. Let’s take a look at each of the legs.

Buffalo vs Ohio Under 44.5 (-105) 

Western Michigan -3 (-110)

Ball State +10 (-110)

NCAAF parlay odds: +612

Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing

Buffalo Bulls vs Ohio Bobcats Under 44.5 (-110)

Last week marked the third straight game that the Ohio Bobcats failed to cross the 20-point mark, as this offense is struggling mightily. Meanwhile, quarterback Cole Snyder and the Bulls could not create anything through the air against the Toledo Rockets in Week 10. Like the Bobcats, the Bulls have struggled to score in recent weeks, failing to tally more than 24 points since the first week of October. In fact, the Bulls have scored 14 or fewer points in 3 of their 5 conference games.

This is a game in which the defenses hold the clear edge over the opposing offenses. Both teams each yield an average of just 2 touchdowns per game against MAC opponents, giving up fewer than 19 points per game within the conference. Furthermore, Buffalo and Ohio are in the top 30 nationally in total opportunities allowed since Week 5, with both teams yielding fewer than 3 points per opportunity in non-garbage time. In other words, opponents aren’t scoring when they cross the Buffalo or Ohio 40-yard lines. The weather could also be factor in this one, as it projects to be cold and gusty with 10+ mph winds, which should aid the defenses against the pass. The game script here is screaming under, so let’s take it.

Check out our full Buffalo vs Ohio predictions

Western Michigan Broncos -3 over Central Michigan Chippewas (-110)

Central Michigan heads to Kalamazoo, Michigan looking to become bowl-eligible against its biggest rival on Tuesday. CMU is coming off a solid 37-31 win last weekend, topping Northern Illinois outright as 6.5-point underdogs. However, this rivalry has been dominated by Western Michigan lately, as the Broncos are now 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series, while winning 7 of the last 9 meetings dating back to 2014.

Western Michigan is coming off what was easily its most impressive win of the campaign, a 45-14 victory at Eastern Michigan as a 3-point favorite last week, nearly taking care of the total on its own. Western has been hot against the number lately, cashing in 5 of the last 6 games overall, including a perfect 4-0 ATS mark in the past 4 games on the road. Let’s ride with the red-hot Broncos.

Read my Central Michigan vs Western Michigan Same Game Parlay

Ball State Cardinals +10 vs Northern Illinois Huskies (-110)

The Ball State Cardinals are on a 3-0 ATS streak as underdogs, winning outright against Central Michigan and just missing out on OT last week against Bowling Green. The last 5 Ball State-NIU matchups have been decided by 7 or fewer points, so it wouldn’t surprise me at all if the Cardinals covered once again. Both teams rank in the bottom 30 of several categories, covering both sides of the ball, but Northern Illinois is 0-8 ATS since last season as a home favorite. Ball State’s offense isn’t all too spectacular, but the defense hasn’t given up more than 24 points in more than a month and recently held a fiery Toledo offense to just 13 points. Weird things happen on Tuesday night MACtion games, so I wouldn’t rule out the upset, but I will be going with Ball State to cover this number.

Read our full Ball State vs Northern Illinois predictions

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