Matthew Lowrimore
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The Week 14 College Football card is a bit smaller due to some Covid postponements and cancellations, but there are still plenty of games to find value on. While you can get our thoughts on the side and total for every Week 14 College Football game, here we’ll be picking a handful of money line spots that each present value, with a few underdogs mixed in. This week we’ve got an eight-teamer payout for you, with a payout north of 50/1.
Purdue Boilermakers -115
Oklahoma State Cowboys -118
Texas A&M Aggies -230
Iowa State Cyclones -260
Arizona State Sun Devils -152
Arkansas Razorbacks +122
Virginia Cavaliers -188
Colorado Buffaloes -300
Parlay Odds: +5025
Plenty of nice looking favorites on this card and a few underdogs that have a good chance to win. Let’s break down each game one by one.
Purdue Boilermakers to beat Nebraska Cornhuskers (-115)
The Purdue offense averages about 27.2 points per game. Their passing offense has been more than good enough, averaging 304 yards per game. On the other side, the Cornhuskers have had an ineffective offense to say the least, averaging just 21 points per game. Because Purdue has a strong passing offense, I am going to look their way to win this game behind the arm of their quarterback.
Oklahoma State Cowboys to beat TCU Horned Frogs (-118)
People may be overreacting because crushed Kansas last week and scored 59 points. Though literally everyone can beat Kansas, so it is certainly not an impressive win. Oklahoma State still have a veteran running back in Chuba Hubbard, so I think we will see them run all over the Horned Frogs.
Texas A&M Aggies to beat Auburn Tigers (-230)
Auburn never likes getting beaten by Alabama, but they were dominated by the Crimson Tide. It did not help that QB Bo Nix did not have a good day. He is far too inconsistent to think the Tigers have a chance at an upset. Texas A&M is just better in all facets of the game and that will show.
Iowa State Cyclones to beat West Virginia Mountaineers (-260)
Iowa State is averaging 33.1 points per game. They have been very balanced, averaging 240+ passing yards and 195+ rushing yards per game. Led by quarterback, Brock Purdy and running back, Breece Hall, the Cyclones have all the weapons they need to win this game handily. Both teams have been decent against the spread, but I like the Cyclones’ balance here. They have one of the nation’s best running backs, so I will take the Cyclones to win and cover.
Arizona State Sun Devils to beat UCLA Bruins (-152)
Arizona State quarterback, Jayden Daniels can lead a pretty good offense and they have had time to work out some kinks. The defense is led by an NFL staff and will be very prepared. I love this line for the home side. It is taking advantage of some recent positive results for UCLA as indicators of real change. I just see them beating up on some very lame offensive teams in Arizona and Cal. I am not sold it means much long term and look for ASU to win by at least a TD with Daniels looking very sharp.
Arkansas Razorbacks to beat Missouri Tigers (+122)
The Razorbacks have clearly shown improvement this season and their offense has looked good enough to think they will be able to play the Tigers tightly. They also have forced the most turnovers this season in the SEC, a total of 17. Their defense is much better at bending not breaking compared to Missouri, so I like the Razorbacks to pull off the small upset.
Virginia Cavaliers to beat Boston College Eagles (-188)
Virginia is coming off consecutive victories over then-No. 14 North Carolina, Louisville (by two touchdowns), and Abilene Christian (55-15). Boston College, on the other hand, has been wildly inconsistent. It has alternated wins and losses over its last nine games dating back to Sept. 26, and that would suggest a loss is in store following a recent 34-27 win over Louisville. It should also be noted that Boston College quarterback, Phil Jurkovec (knee) and running back David Bailey (undisclosed) were injured against the Cardinals. It sounds like they will be ready to go for this one but may be less than 100 percent.
Colorado Buffaloes to beat Arizona Wildcats (-300)
Colorado is 3-0 so far, whereas Arizona is at the other end of the spectrum with a 0-3 record. The Buffaloes have defeated UCLA, Stanford, and San Diego State, averaging more than 34 points per game. Dating back to last year, the ‘Cats are in the midst of a ridiculous 10-game losing streak. It should also be noted that quarterback Grant Gunnell may not be able to go due to a shoulder injury, so I like Colorado to win this game easily.
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