The second game on the NFL’s Christmas slate pits the Detroit Lions against the Minnesota Vikings. It is a must-win situation for the Lions, who – if they want to steal the NFC’s last wild-card spot – have to go 2-0 over the final 2 weeks and need the Packers to go 0-2. The Vikings will be eager to play a spoiler role at the expense of their division rivals. Here are my Lions vs Vikings best TD scorer bets for Christmas Day afternoon, while you can also find out our expert NFL picks for every Week 17 game, along with our full Lions vs Vikings predictions on the side and total.
Lions vs Vikings TD scorer best bet: Jordan Addison (+300)
Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing.
Although the Vikings do not exactly pose a significant aerial threat in 2025, this is a favorable matchup for their passing game against the Lions. Detroit ranks #25 in the league against the pass and has surrendered 29 touchdowns through the air – 4th-most in the NFL. Justin Jefferson and T.J. Hockenson will also be factors in the red zone, but Jefferson has scored just 2 TDs and Hockenson is going up against a secondary that has been solid at defending tight ends.
Otherwise, though, the Lions’ secondary is bad. Top cornerback D.J. Reed has been especially disappointing of late, so there is no reason to think that he will be able to handle Jefferson 1-on-1. Safety help will be required, which should open things up for Addison. The former USC standout has 3 touchdowns this season, and he has gained more than 60 yards in 2 of the last 3 games. It would be no surprise if he delivers a Christmas TD.
After two winners on Saturday AND on MNF, don’t miss our Lions vs Vikings Same Game Parlay picks at +575 odds
Lions vs Vikings TD scorer prediction: David Montgomery (+140)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
The value is on the lesser half of the Sonic and Knuckles duo, as Jahmyr Gibbs at close to -200 at most sportsbooks just doesn’t offer enough of a payout. Getting Montgomery well into plus money is the way to go. The Iowa State product has scored 8 touchdowns this season, including 3 in the past 4 games.
Montgomery’s streak of a TD in 3 straight contests ended last weekend, so he should be eager to get back on track in this spot. It’s a favorable one against the Vikings, who have allowed almost as many rushing TDs (13) as passing (14) through 16 weeks. They are #24 in the NFL in rushing defense. Look for Montgomery to capitalize on a nice opportunity.
Find our experts’ NFL best bets for the entire Week 17 slate
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