Euro 2024 Semifinal Predictions: Spain vs France Betting Odds, Picks & Best Bets

Kylian MBappe of France celebrates his goal during the international friendly match between France and Wales at Allianz Riviera Stadium, on June 2, 2021 in Nice, France.
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Alex Hilton


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Written betting content for sister site Racing Post since 2006 and now taking my soccer betting talents to Pickswise. Very proud Liverpool fan. For Alex Hilton media enquiries, please email
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Just 4 teams remain as the Euro 2024 semifinals get underway on Tuesday, July 9, with a huge matchup between two titans of international soccer as new tournament favorites Spain take on France. The Spanish have played some scintillating soccer thus far and got the better of tournament hosts Germany in the quarterfinals. Meanwhile, France have struggled to get going in attack but boast one of the most vigorous defenses in the world and will take plenty of confidence from their penalty shootout win over Portugal. Spain vs France gets underway at 3:00 pm ET live on FOX — who will advance to the Euro 2024 final? We have expert soccer predictions for EVERY Euro 2024 and Copa America game throughout both tournaments, but for now, let’s dive into our Spain vs France best bet for Tuesday.

You can also find out our Euro 2024 semifinal Netherlands vs England predictions

Spain vs France best bet: Spain ML (+170)

Spain showed a measure of grit and determination to come through a physical and scrappy confrontation with host nation Germany, and considering their performances so far they look good value to beat a struggling France team in Munich. La Roja were the better of the 2 teams in the first half against Germany and took a deserved lead in the second half, and they were within minutes of claiming a win inside the 90 minutes before finally succumbing to the barrage of German pressure. Still, Luis de la Fuente’s team recovered from this setback well in extra time, and it is clear they are the team to beat at Euro 2024.

France, who entered Euro 2024 as second favorites, are yet to find their rhythm and will need to show big signs of improvement if they are to go toe-to-toe with this Spain team. Their penalty-shootout win over Portugal, which followed a poor goalless tie, means they are yet to score a goal from open play this tournament, and 2 of their 3 strikes have been own goals. Admittedly, their defense has proved excellent so far, but on Tuesday they face a Spain attack that has generated a tournament-high 10.3 expected goals so far, so Didier Deschamps’ back line will be tested to their limit in Munich. Spain have only lost 2 of their last 8 meetings with France, and I’m backing them to win again on Tuesday.

Read our full Spain vs France predictions

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