Following an eventful 3 weeks of March Madness action, we are down from 64 to just 2 teams. That’s right, all roads have led to the National Championship Game, and this year’s installment features a pair of very different teams, as the UConn Huskies are set to take on the Michigan Wolverines on Monday. There’s lots to look forward to and find value in, so let’s get into my same game parlay for the final game of the college basketball season.
I’m on an 8-4 run in my March Madness best bets column over the last couple of weeks, so let’s keep that momentum going with my college basketball same game parlay and predictions for Monday’s title game. Also, be sure to keep an eye on our March Madness picks for expert analysis and bets for EVERY game of the NCAA Tournament!
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Michigan -7 (-110)
1st Half Under 68.5 (-120)
Trey McKenny (MICH) over 1.5 threes made (+110)
National Championship Same Game Parlay: +635
National Championship parlay pick: Michigan Wolverines -7 (-110)
These teams have taken very different routes to arrive at this point, and while it’s very difficult to bet against UConn in a tournament setting, the magic should finally run out for Danny Hurley’s side on Monday. To his credit, Hurley is the best postseason coach in the sport at the moment, and he is now 18-1 against the spread over his last 19 NCAA Tournament games. However, the Huskies were pretty fortunate to get past Illinois on Saturday, and that was a game which saw UConn knock down a whopping 12 threes. Elsewhere, the Huskies have been excellent on the glass in this tournament, but they likely won’t be able to have a similar level of success against Aday Mara and the Michigan frontcourt.
As for the Wolverines, Dusty May’s group has looked like the top team in the nation for the majority of the campaign, and that continued into their dominant showing against an Arizona team that had been a wrecking ball all season long. Even without the services of Yaxel Lendeborg for long stretches of the game, Michigan was nearly unstoppable against an elite defense. The Wolverines have tallied 90 or more points in every NCAA Tournament game to this point, and they should be able to win the battle at the rim and use their size and physicality to dictate how the game is played. Even with Lendeborg not at 100% in this game, it’s hard to see UConn keeping up if the Huskies are unable to knock down at least 10 threes. I’ll lay the points in this one.
National Championship parlay pick: 1st Half Under 68.5 (-120)
A lot of the talk around Michigan centers around its offense, and rightfully so. However, the Wolverines have been excellent on defense over their last few games, holding Tennessee and Arizona to a combined 58 points in their last 2 first halves played. Michigan’s size should make things extremely difficult for UConn at the rim, and it’s hard to expect the Huskies to knock down 8 more 3-pointers following a red-hot first half shooting display against Illinois on Saturday. On the other side, it’s hard to quantify just how good this UConn coaching staff is, and the Huskies have been especially elite in their preparation on a short turnaround in these tournament settings. Look for Hurley’s group to lock in defensively and keep Michigan’s offense pinned down early on.
Find out our 5-star UConn vs Michigan best bet
National Championship parlay pick: Trey McKenny (MICH) over 1.5 threes made (+110)
I’ve consistently backed Trey McKenny to exceed his 3-pointers made prop throughout this tournament, and I’ll be going back to the well one more time on Monday. The freshman has knocked down at least 2 threes in 4 of his last 5 games, as the bright lights of March Madness have not fazed the young guard. McKenny is shooting the ball at a 52% clip from beyond the arc, and he should have plenty of chances to hoist up shots, especially with the injury to Lendeborg. As long as McKenny attempts 4 threes of more on Monday, this is a prop that has a fair bit of value at plus money.
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