Andrew Ortenberg
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Well, the Sweet 16 is in the books, and it sure didn’t disappoint. We saw a 15 seed nearly advance to the Elite Eight, an overtime thriller, and plenty of highlight-reel plays. Right now we thought we’d digest some of the data relevant to betting from the weekend to help inform your wagers moving forward. Without further ado let’s dive in, but don’t forget to check out our picks on the side and total for every game first.
Favorites went 3-1 ATS on Sunday
Underdogs stole the show early on, but favorites have been chipping away at their ATS lead ever since. Favorites went 7-1 ATS the last day of the Round of 32, and now they went 3-1 on Sunday after a 2-2 split on Saturday. Through six days of March Madness action, the lead of the underdogs has been cut to 28-27 ATS. This is an interesting trend to monitor, as it could suggest that the cream truly rises to the top as the tournament progresses and there’s no longer value on underdogs in the later rounds.
Under went 6-2 in Sweet 16
The under went 2-2 on Sunday, but was a perfect 4-0 on Saturday for a 6-2 Sweet 16 record. The under has been quite profitable overall throughout the tournament, as its record now stands at 32-23 overall. That’s good for a cash rate north of 58 percent.
The PAC 12 is 11-1 ATS
Another day, another PAC 12 cover. Oregon State won outright as a sizable underdog against Loyola Chicago on Saturday, and UCLA did the same thing against Alabama on Sunday. The conference is now 11-1 ATS in the tournament, not counting the game between Oregon and USC. The PAC 12 has incredibly gotten three teams to the Elite Eight, does this bode well for the Beavers, Trojans, and Bruins moving forward?
Each of them are going to be sizable underdogs against Houston, Gonzaga, and Michigan respectively. The ATS performance of the conference so far is certainly going to give bettors second thoughts about backing the favorites there.
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