Masters outright betting at the halfway point: Scheffler or the field?

Scottie Scheffler Masters
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Ricky Dimon

Golf· 1 month ago

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

Perhaps the most obvious question through 2 rounds of the Masters is: Scottie Scheffler or the field.

It’s not often that you can stack someone up against the entire field with 36 holes still to play in a golf tournament, but it’s also not often that someone is as hot as Scheffler. The 25-year-old American has won 3 of his last 5 starts, surging to No. 1 in the official world golf rankings. As he looks to keep his streak going and win a major for the first time, Scheffler has tied for the biggest 36-hole lead in Masters history – 5 shots. He has reached the halfway point at 8-under, well clear of a group at 3-under that consists of former champions Hideki Matsuyama and Charl Schwartzel plus Shane Lowry and Sungjae Im.

Let’s take a look at where the Masters odds stand through 2 rounds and discuss some of the best bets to be made.

Masters odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Scottie Scheffler +100
Justin Thomas +1200
Dustin Johnson +1200
Hideki Matsuyama +1200
Cameron Smith +1200
Shane Lowry +1200
Sungjae Im +1800
Collin Morikawa +2200
Will Zalatoris +3000
Joaquin Niemann +4000
Charl Schwartzel +4500
Corey Conners +4500
Harold Varner III +5000
Jon Rahm +5500
Kevin Na +5500

Best bets

Justin Thomas to finish in the top 5 (+175)

I’m avoiding any outright winner bets at the moment. Scheffler is tempting, but I just can’t bite on even-money odds at this point in the tournament. I also don’t feel great about anyone else, for the obvious reason that Scheffler is leading by 5 strokes. Where I do find value, however, is Thomas’ odds to place in the top 5. The 28-year-old American put himself in a hole with a 4-over 76 on Thursday, but he got back in contention by tying Scheffler for the low round on Friday at 5-under 67. That’s the Thomas we are more accustomed to seeing; the same Thomas that delivered top-10 performances in 3 of 4 events heading into the Masters. It’s the Thomas we will likely see throughout the week as he goes for a second top-4 result in the last 3 Masters. He is T10 right now but only 1 shot out of 6th and 2 out of 2nd.

Jon Rahm to finish in the top 10 (+190)

Rahm is a disappointing T23 at the moment and not really in contention simply because Scheffler – for now – is running away with it. But a top-10 finish for the Spaniard is by no means out of the question. In fact, I would play this all the way to about +100. I think it’s likely Rahm finishes in the top 10. The 27-year-old is the No. 2 player in the world for a reason; it would be hard for anyone to argue that Rahm isn’t the 2nd-best player on tour behind Scheffler right now. Rahm has placed in the top 10 in 4 consecutive Masters, so it’s clear he loves this course. He improved from 74 to 72 Thursday to Friday, so a positive trend is encouraging. Rahm is just 3 strokes out of top-10 position; that’s a deficit he can make up even before play ends on Saturday. Heck, he can make that up in 9 holes.

Head over to our Masters 2022 hub for everything you need to know about the season’s first major!

Pickswise brings you the best free expert Masters Picks and Masters Predictions across all of the top golf betting markets. Be sure to check out our Masters Best Bets page for those 3-star plays.

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