MLB Monday parlay at mega +1126 odds today 9/11: Orioles remain the team to beat

Baltimore Orioles relief pitcher Jorge Lopez (73) hugs catcher Adley Rutschman (35) after a game against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Another week of baseball has come and gone, and now MLB’s Monday slates are competing with Monday Night Football. But don’t forget about baseball, especially with the 15-game slate we have today. Here is my 3-team MLB mega parlay at over 11/1 odds with FanDuel Sportsbook. Be sure to also check out all of today’s MLB predictions.

Orioles -1.5 (+125)

Yankees ML (+108)

Rays-Twins alternate total under 6.5 (+162)

Parlay odds: +1126

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Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+125) over St. Louis Cardinals

The Orioles have become the best team in the American League. It was their lineup and bullpen that led them to success in the first half of the season, when their starting rotation was their weak link. Baltimore recognized that and added Jack Flaherty to their rotation at the deadline. However, their young arms have completely turned it around since the All-Star break and Flaherty has almost been a non-factor. One of Baltimore’s young arms who has been exceptional recently is Dean Kremer, who owned a 4.78 ERA in the first half of the season and now has a 2.86 ERA since mid-July. In August, Kremer posted a 2.37 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP in 5 starts. And in his most recent outing against the Angels, the right-hander threw 4.2 scoreless innings while allowing just 4 hits.

It’s been a mess of a season for the Cardinals. St. Louis was expected to run away with the NL Central but we are less than a month from the postseason and the Cardinals are nowhere close to playing in October. A big part of that has been their starting rotation and bullpen, which have both been bottom-10 units in baseball. Dakota Hudson has appeared in both of those roles as he started in the bullpen but now has 8 starts under his belt. But in his last 3 outings, Hudson has allowed 11 runs and 16 hits. The Orioles are by far the better team, so I’ll back them for a multi-run win on Monday.

New York Yankees ML (+108) over Boston Red Sox

The Yankees and Red Sox are in a heated race… to see which team finishes last in the AL East. Over the weekend, the Red Sox managed to avoid the sweep from the Orioles at home by winning the series finale. The Yankees were in danger of getting swept too, and they were getting no-hit by Corbin Burnes after 8 innings on Sunday night. It looked nearly guaranteed that the Yankees would get swept at home, but somehow, the Brewers couldn’t get a single run to help Burnes. The Yankees ended up winning in extra innings, and they travel to Boston with Clarke Schmidt on the mound for the series opener.

Schmidt hasn’t been bad, but he hasn’t been great either. He was expected to be a long relief arm in the bullpen since the Yankees rotation was projected to be made up of Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodon, Nestor Cortes, Luis Severino, Domingo German and Frankie Montas. But here we are in the middle of September, and only Cole and Rodon are healthy and playing at Yankee Stadium. Anyway, Schmidt started against the Sox just a few weeks ago and allowed only 2 runs and 4 hits while striking out 8 in 5.2 innings. He will be opposed by Kutter Crawford, who is backed by a really poor Red Sox bullpen. It might take another late-inning effort like Sunday’s, but New York has an excellent chance at an upset tonight.

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins alternate under 6.5 (+162)

Two of the best pitchers in baseball face off in Minnesota tonight. Sonny Gray has the 4th-lowest ERA at 2.98. And funnily enough, that is Tyler Glasnow’s ERA too. Both pitchers have been stellar since the All-Star break, and Glasnow is now one of the few remaining healthy starters for the Rays. After a rough first few weeks back, Glasnow posted a 2.11 ERA in July and then a 2.50 ERA in August. He continued to drop his ERA in September with a great start against the Guardians in his first start of the month and then had his best start of the season against the Red Sox as he finished 6 innings with just 1 run allowed and 14 strikeouts. His strikeout numbers have been getting higher and higher in the last few weeks, so it looks like Glasnow is finally healthy.

Minnesota’s rotation has been elite this season, and Gray has been the leader of the group. The 33-year-old has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 5 of his last 7 starts while allowing just 3 home runs in that span. His ability to keep the ball in the yard stems from his incredibly high weak contact rate. And Gray’s curveball and slider are a big reason he ranks in the 77th percentile in ground-ball rate, so he’s been pushing all the right buttons this season. The pitching matchup should limit the scoring from the first pitch to the last, so I’ll back this alternate under.

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