MLB Picks & Predictions for Monday, July 28: Red Sox vs Twins and Rangers vs Angels Best Bets

Minnesota Twins right fielder Matt Wallner (38) celebrates with left fielder Trevor Larnach (9) and third baseman Royce Lewis (23) after hitting a three-run home run against the San Diego Padres.
Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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A new week in Major League Baseball gets underway with a full 15-game slate on Monday. The schedule features Diamondbacks vs Tigers, Rays vs Yankees, Dodgers vs Reds and Cubs vs Brewers. The Pickswise team has been in fine form this season. I’m 52-40-2 record so far in this best bets piece while going 4-for-10 on Same Game Parlays at +481, +632, +439 and +600 odds. Pickswise’s MLB handicapping team on the whole is 108-76-7 on their best bets. Let’s keep it going as we get into my MLB best bets of the day! Also, don’t forget to check out our MLB picks for EVERY GAME on Monday, July 28.

Make sure you find out our MLB YRFI/NRFI best bets and MLB parlay picks for tonight’s action

MLB best bet: Minnesota Twins F5 ML over Boston Red Sox (-114) 

Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Opponents generally give the Red Sox fits when Richard Fitts takes the mound. Boston is 2-7 in his 9 starts this year – even though his numbers aren’t entirely terrible (4.86 ERA, 1.27 WHIP). However, Fitts has been particularly poor of late. The 25-year-old right-hander gave up 8 runs in 5.0 innings through 2 June appearances, and so far in July, he has allowed 8 runs on 13 hits in 12.0 innings.

The Twins are countering with Simeon Woods Richardson, who loves pitching at home. SWR is 4-2 with a 3.12 ERA in Minnesota compared to road numbers of 1-2 and 5.30. Overall, the 24-year-old righty compiled a 3.92 ERA in June and his current ERA for this month is 2.55. I feel better about Minnesota on the first 5 innings line, however, because Woods Richardson generally doesn’t work very deep in games and the bullpen isn’t great (4.33 ERA) — whereas Boston’s relievers have been some of baseball’s best. Things could get away from the Twins late.

Read our full Red Sox vs Twins prediction

MLB best bet: Texas Rangers -1.5 over Los Angeles Angels (-115) 

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

The Rangers won 3 of their last 4 games in the first half of the season and they have been even hotter coming out of the break. Their post-ASG record stands at 8-1 after sweeping Atlanta this past weekend. Corey Seager is batting .333 with 2 home runs and 8 RBIs so far in the second half. There is no reason to think that Texas will cool off with Jacob deGrom on the mound. He is 10-2 with a 2.28 ERA, 0.90 WHIP and a 122-to-25 strikeout-to-walk ratio. 

It is a different story for the Angels, who are 2-5 in their last 7 contests and are sending Jack Kochanowicz to the bump. Kochanowicz is 3-9 with a 6.03 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. He faced none other than Texas in his most recent start last Thursday and surrendered 8 earned runs in 2.2 innings. Los Angeles dropped that game 11-4 in a pitching matchup that was Kochanowicz vs Patrick Corbin. Now it’s Kochanowicz vs deGrom. Needless to say, things could get even worse for the Halos.

Read our full Rangers vs Angels prediction

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