Ricky Dimon
The week in Major League Baseball continues with a full 15-game slate on Tuesday. It includes Mets vs Phillies, Tigers vs Yankees on TBS, Astros vs Blue Jays and Reds vs Padres. The Pickswise team has been on fire lately, posting a 24-11 run in our MLB best bets. Let’s build on that momentum and hopefully deliver some more winners today! Let’s dive into today’s top picks, while you can also find out all of our MLB picks for every game on Tuesday, September 9.
MLB best bet: Philadelphia Phillies ML over New York Mets (-130)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
There is a lot to like about the Phillies’ chances in the 2nd game of this series against the division rival Mets. Philadelphia has home-field advantage, which by itself can be a decisive factor. Philly is 46-23 at Citizens Bank Park this season compared to 38-37 on the road; New York is 10 games under .500 on the road compared to 18 games over .500 at home. There is no reason to have any faith in the Mets at the back end of a 10-game road trip. It’s a trip that started off well enough with back-to-back wins in Detroit, but they are 1-4 in their last 5 contests after failing to score a single run in Monday’s series opener.
The pitching matchup also favors Philadelphia, which is going with Ranger Suarez. The southpaw is 11-6 with a 2.89 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 128 strikeouts to only 32 walks in 137.0 innings. Curiously, Suarez has not faced the Mets a single time this season. However, he was outstanding against them in 2024. The 30-year-old compiled a 2-0 record in 3 starts to go along with a 2.30 ERA. New York is countering with Sean Manaea, who is 1-2 with a 5.60 ERA. His team has lost 7 of his 10 starts since he missed all of the first half of the 2024 campaign due to elbow and oblique injuries. Whereas the visitors are 1-4 in their last 5, the home side is 4-1 in its last 5. Let’s stick with those trends.
Find out ThatGuyBets’ MLB YRFI/NRFI best bet for today’s baseball action
MLB best bet: Boston Red Sox vs The Athletics Under 10.5 (-110)
Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing
A total of 10.5 is too high for pretty much any game outside of Coors Field. Okay, that generalization may be a bit of a stretch – but it definitely is too high for this game. There is great value on the under in a matchup involving 2 pitchers who have shown improvement of late. Boston’s Dustin May has allowed more than 3 runs just twice in 6 appearances since coming over from the Dodgers. He pitched 3.0 innings of 1-run baseball last Wednesday against Cleveland. May generally does not work very deep into games, but that’s fine because the Red Sox boast the 3rd-best bullpen ERA in all of baseball at 3.48. For the Athletics, Jeffrey Springs has given up only 6 runs in his 3 outings across 17.0 innings.
The Athletics have basically zero familiarity with May. Nobody on their roster has ever gotten a hit off the right-hander. The only Boston player who has ever done anything notable against Springs is Trevor Story, and even he is just a modest 2-for-5 lifetime with a homer. Heading into Monday’s series opener, the Sox had been limited to 1 run in 2 of their previous 4 contests. The A’s had been held to 1 run in 2 of their previous 5.
