MLB predictions - Betting review from first month of the season for each team

Mike Trout of the Los Angeles Angels
Photo of Andrew Ortenberg

Andrew Ortenberg

MLB

Show Bio

I'm an NFL handicapper here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

The first month of the uniquely shortened 2020 MLB season is in the books, and we’ve learned a lot so far. Plenty of teams have beaten oddsmakers’ expectations, and plenty have underperformed. Here’s a review of how each squad has looked as we all start making our second half wagers.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks have been up and down, entering Friday at an even 13-13. Some of the additions to their lineup like Starling Marte have been mashing, but the pitching has been pretty bad. Key starter Robbie Ray has been atrocious with an 8.59 ERA, and him getting things turned around will be crucial for their second half.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves certainly haven’t been perfect by any means, but they are still the favorite in an underwhelming NL East. They’re 14-11, and if Ronald Acuna Jr can get healthy and back to playing at the level he’s capable of, this team could make some noise in the playoffs.

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles have actually been a lot better than expected, hovering around .500 at the moment. That being said they had lost five straight games entering Friday, and it appears that their early-season magic may have run out. They are probably a team to fade in the second half as they regress to the mean.

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox have probably been the biggest disappointment in baseball this season, going just 8-18 through their first 26 games only a couple of years after winning the World Series. They’ve had the worst pitching in baseball so far, and there aren’t too many reasons for optimism right now. This looks like a team that’s given up, so I wouldn’t count on them making a late charge.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs started hot, and are now the prohibitive favorite in the NL Central. While their 16-8 record looks great, their +15 run differential indicates that they probably been getting a bit lucky and won’t be able to sustain that kind of record. I’m not fading them too hard, but they could regress in the second half as well given the indicators.

Chicago White Sox

The other Chicago team has also been enjoying a nice season, and they look like a very solid bet to make the playoffs. This is a team that has quietly been building momentum with their young guys the past couple of seasons, and it wouldn’t surprise me if they finish strong. There’s a great energy around this team right now.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds are another team that has disappointed big time. They were a very trendy dark horse World Series pick coming into the year, and everybody expected big things from them. That being said I think they’ve been getting a bit unlucky, and the talent is still there. They could be a good team to buy down the stretch now that they’ve become undervalued.

Cleveland Indians

The Indians are in an interesting spot, considering they’ve managed to rack up a 16-9 record despite having one of the weakest hitting lineups in MLB. Their pitching has been simply phenomenal, as they have given up only 66 runs through 25 games. That’s absurd, and some might argue it’s not sustainable.

Colorado Rockies

I loved the Rockies as a sleeper team coming into the year, and they started off red hot. Unfortunately they have since collapsed, as they’ve gone 2-8 in their last 10 games. I still think this team is better than most people realize, and they should get it figured out again before too long. Buy low.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers threatened to be a pleasant surprise at the beginning of the year, but that faded fast. They’re now 1-9 in their last 10 games, and it’s clear the decent start was a fluke. This team is extremely light on talent, and there’s almost always money to be made fading them.

Houston Astros

After all the controversy they endured this offseason, the Astros understandably started slow. People started to write them off, and they’ve since predictably caught fire. This team is still loaded with talent (even without the sign stealing), and I think there’s value on them moving forward. Everybody seemed to be expecting a collapse, but that was always unrealistic.

Kansas City Royals

The Royals are about what everybody expected, as they are more one of the more competitive bottom-tier teams. There’s not a ton of things to be optimistic about, but this isn’t a team you can take too lightly either. Overall I think they’re a side to stay away from for now.

Los Angeles Angels

The Angels made some splashy moves this offseason and were one of the most hyped up teams coming into the year. They have fallen completely flat, with an 8-18 record, and the pitching has been atrocious. They’re running out of time to figure things out, although with all the talent they’ve accumulated they could be a decent buy-low team in the second half.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Many people expected the Dodgers to be the best team in baseball this year, and for the most part they’ve looked like it. They’ve got the best winning percentage in the big leagues, and by far the best run differential at +66. They’re blowing out opponents left and right, so I often like to play them on the run line.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins randomly caught fire after returning from their coronavirus hiatus, but they have since unsurprisingly fallen apart with a 2-8 record in their last 10 games. The random success was always a minor blip, and it’s not too late to start fading them now.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have been another disappointing team, but I think they’re due to break out of it pretty soon, as Christian Yelich just started off the year extremely slowly, and that was never going to last. They’re another team who should be better in the second half.

Minnesota Twins

The Twins were a great story last year, and they’ve been very solid again in 2020, going 17-9 through their first 26. That being said, I’m a bit skeptical their offense will be able to keep it going at the current rate, as guys like Nelson Cruz simply can’t stay this good. They may pullback down the stretch.

New York Yankees

The New York Yankees had high expectations entering this season, and while they’ve been very good overall, there are some troubling signs moving forward. They’ve lost three straight games at the moment, and injuries are starting to pile up yet again. I think they’re going to continue to lose some steam due to all the health issues.

New York Mets

The Mets have been battling to remain around .500, and now they’re dealing with a coronavirus scare. In other words, it’s been a pretty Mets-like season. The pitching has been mostly awful, and they feel like a team that could collapse down the stretch if the wheels come off.

Oakland Athletics

Oakland has been one of MLB’s best stories this season, as they’ve led in the AL West for most of the year. I’m skeptical that they’ll be able to continue to be this good, but there’s still a lot to like here. That being said, I wouldn’t bet on them holding off the Astros for much longer.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies are another team that has disappointed, as their bullpen has been laughably bad so far this season. However, I think they could be a great team to buy low on moving forward, as some of those bullpen issues are just variance and bad luck. There’s still a lot of talent here.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have been awful all year, and are arguably the worst team in the league. Without much to play for down the stretch, I fear things could get worse before they get better. The out of contention teams will likely get slaughtered in the final couple weeks, as motivation will be hard to come by under these bizarre circumstances.

San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres look great, and there’s a ton of excitement around this team. That being said, I think now might be the time to sell high on the hype around Fernando Tatis Jr. Outside of him and Manny Machado they don’t have too much else, and I think they’re still another year away.

San Francisco Giants

The Giants have actually been a bit better than expected, and they just rattled off three straight wins. That being said their lineup is still full of former minor leaguers and journeymen guys, so I wouldn’t expect them to keep it up. The fact that 11-16 is a modest success for them tells you all you need to know.

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners were decent enough for the first week or so, then completely collapsed. They’ve only won a couple of games in the past few weeks, and nothing is working on offense or on the mound. Avoid them like the plague.

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals are a hard team to peg considering how many games they missed due to COVID-19. They now have to play an absurd amount of doubleheaders down the stretch, which could cause a lot of exploitable fatigue issues.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Tampa Bay Rays were a trendy World Series pick, and they’ve gone a very solid 17-10 so far. Everyone knew about their bullpen talent, but the offense has been a huge surprise. They’ve easily scored the most runs in the American League, and if they can keep that going they’re a legit title contender.

Texas Rangers

I had high hopes for the Texas Rangers this year, but they’ve been huge underachievers. The rotation has talent but the lineup has been abysmal, and their bats need to wake up soon. If guys like Joey Gallo start to heat up, hop on quickly and ride them.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays have been a bit better than expected and are over .500. They’ve got a ton of young talent, and could make noise for years to come. That being said, I think they’re too youthful to do anything real in 2020.

Washington Nationals

The defending champions lost some key guys this offseason, and it has shown. They’re 9-13, and in danger of slipping out of the playoff race. The offense simply doesn’t have enough pop in it without Anthony Rendon, and I don’t think they’re going to magically figure it out. If anything I think they might get worse.

Want to make a wager? Check out some great promotions from all the legal sportsbooks on our promo codes page!

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$3000

No Sweat First Bet up to $3,000 - Guaranteed

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $3,000!

Get refunded up to $3,000 in bonus bets if you lose

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

Unibet

$100

Virginia Bettors- Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

bet365

$200

Bet $1 and Get $200 in Free Bets at bet365!

Register for a new bet365 account

Place qualifying bets of $1 or more

Get $200 in free bets - no matter if your bet wins or loses

New Customer Offer. Deposit required. Free Bets added to Free Bet Credits balance. Free Bet risk excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply. Must be physically located in VA.

BetRivers

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Make your first deposit and bet $5 on any sports market

Receive $200 in bonus bets instantly, no matter what!

Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $200 issued as free bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com..

PointsBet

$500

Get $100 in Free Bets, for 5 Days Straight starting

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,250

Your First Cash Bet Is On Caesars Up To $1,250

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

If you lose, you get 100% of your stake back as a Bet Credit - up to $1,250.

AND win or lose, you’ll also get 1,000 Reward Credits® and 1,000 Tier Credits.

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get $1,000 Paid Back in Bonus Bets, if you Don't Win

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded up to $1,000 in bonus bets if you don't win

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get up to $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy

$100

First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply