MLB Sunday three-team mega parlay (+1010 odds): Wins are bigger in Texas

Minnesota Twins shortstop Carlos Correa (4) gestures as he rounds the bases after hitting a two run home run against the Texas Rangers during the first inning at Globe Life Field.
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Keith

MLB · 1 month ago

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A Bostonian with a love for stats and baseball. Using knowledge and passion to find the right bet in MLB, NBA, NFL, and more. A lover of bold sports takes and sweat free plus odds picks.

We have a loaded slate of 15 MLB games today including some big matchups like the Yankees-Red Sox, Phillies-Cardinals, and Blue Jays-Mariners. With the big slate that we have tonight, we were able to come up with a +1010 mega parlay for tonight’s action.

Before we dive in, don’t forget to check out our free picks on the side and total for every MLB game today. Let’s get into our mega parlay for today.

Marlins/Mets alternate total under 6.5 (+126)

Twins alternate line -1.5 (+168)

Padres ML (-120)

Parlay odds: +1010

For this parlay we are going with one favorite on the alternate run line, one favorite on the money line, and one game totals pick. Let’s break down each of the three legs one by one.

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets alternate total under 6.5 (+126)

Sandy Alcantara is starting for the Marlins. That alone should make you think about taking the under in this game because of how dominant Alcantara has been this season. He is currently a front-runner for the NL Cy Young award since he has posted a 1.82 ERA with a 2.54 xERA in 123.1 innings. The Marlins ace has thrown the most innings of any pitcher in the National League, and this will be his 3rd time facing the Mets this season, and that’s bad news for New York.

The last time that Alcantara was at Citi Field, he went 8 innings and surrendered just 2 runs on 6 hits while recording 8 strikeouts. And in his last start, he threw 8 scoreless innings and allowed just 2 hits with 10 punchouts to the Angels. Taijuan Walker hasn’t been Cy Young caliber good, but he has been excellent at home this season. The veteran’s ERA drops to 1.86 with a 1.07 WHIP at Citi Field, so this matchup should be low scoring from the start. Anticipate only a few runs being scored on Sunday afternoon.

Don’t forget to check out our NRFI/YRFI bets today

Minnesota Twins alternate line -1.5 (+168) over Texas Rangers

The Rangers have lost Dane Dunning’s last 9 consecutive starts. The 27-year-old hasn’t been that bad this season, but he hasn’t been great. His .267 xBA and 20.2% strikeout rate are below average, and that pretty much describes Dunning’s game – below average. The Rangers have proven that they can score in bunches this series, but their mediocre starting pitching and the poor bullpen have cost them numerous games.

This might be the first time I have ever backed Dylan Bundy. The veteran has had an up-and-down 8-year career and I’ve loved to capitalize on his slumps, but Bundy has been pitching some of the best games of his career recently. He has a 1.88 ERA in his last 4 outings, and he will be backed up by a Twins offense that has averaged 6.8 runs in their last 5 games. Minnesota should run away with this game.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers

San Diego Padres ML (-120) vs San Francisco Giants

I am very surprised to see this game so reasonably priced, but it just makes for a good opportunity to take advantage of it. San Francisco was able to win Saturday night’s game, but that was just their 2nd win in their last 10 games. The Giants will have Alex Wood on the mound who can’t seem to win a game for San Francisco as they’ve lost his last 3 straight starts and 6 of his last 9 outings. It could be due to his .271 xBA or below-average off-speed pitches, but Wood has not found success this season.

MacKenzie Gore was a front-runner for the NL Rookie of the Year, but after one bad performance and Julio Rodriguez’s hot streak, Gore might have slipped down a selection or two. Regardless, the lefty has still been great this season with a 3.19 ERA and just excelled against the Dodgers and Phillies – two lineups that smash left-handed pitching. In Gore’s one start against San Francisco this season, he threw 6 innings and allowed just 1 run in a 10-1 victory. I anticipate a solid outing from Gore and another Padres win.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres

Pickswise is the home of free MLB picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our MLB parlays and MLB prop bets tabs for more expert picks.

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