Andrew Ortenberg
Show Bio
We’ve got a jam-packed Week 10 slate with a ton of great matchups, including this classic NFC East rivalry showdown between the New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys. Injuries have left the G-Men shorthanded for this one, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t still plenty to look forward to here.
In Week 7 week I cooked up 2 Same Game Parlays, one for Bills/Patriots at +1683 odds, and one for Lions/Ravens at +1596 odds. Both of them hit. Then in Week 8 I did another 2 and I hit on Bengals/49ers at +1187.
Let’s keep the winners going this week as I attempt two more. You can also check out my SGP for Lions vs Chargers. Finally, read all our other NFL Week 10 picks on sides and totals, but now let’s get right into this Giants vs Cowboys SGP.
Alternate total Under 25.5 (+630)
Dak Prescott 250+ passing yards (-118)
Parlay odds: +1786
We have a 2-leg Same Game Parlay, which pays out at almost 16/1 with FanDuel Sportsbook. Let’s break it down.
Alternate total under 25.5 (+630)
To start this Same Game Parlay we have the under on an alternate line. For a few reasons this game has the potential to be incredibly low scoring. Most importantly, the Giants are going to be starting Tommy DeVito at quarterback. DeVito couldn’t even win the starting job at Syracuse, and the rookie UDFA is only getting the spot start here because of injuries to Daniel Jones and Tyrod Taylor. So far in limited action, DeVito has looked unplayable.
He played much of the Giants’ game against Las Vegas last week as Taylor got hurt early on, and the G-Men mustered all of six points in that one. DeVito played about half the game the previous week against the Jets, and finished with -1 passing yards. I don’t think it would surprise anybody if New York got shutout here.
They already got shut out by Dallas when these teams first played each other back in Week 1, and that was with Jones under center. The Cowboys’ defense is loaded with talent, and coordinator Dan Quinn’s unit has to be licking their chops at the prospect of going up against DeVito.
The Giants are likely going to be extremely conservative and run the ball as much as possible to avoid exposing DeVito and their banged-up offensive line to Dallas’ imposing pass rush led by Micah Parsons.
Dak Prescott to have 250+ passing yards (-118)
We get a big odds boost by making this the second leg of this SGP, but I don’t think this conflicts much at all. 250 passing yards isn’t any sort of massive number for Prescott, and it certainly doesn’t mean the Cowboys scored a ton of points. This number has been somewhat of a formality for Prescott whether the Dallas offense is playing well or not, as he has thrown for at least 249 yards in 6 of his past 7 games.
Prescott has thrown for 300+ in each of his past two, and his connection with CeeDee Lamb is really starting to heat up as Lamb has now racked up 117+ yards in three straight games. I don’t expect the Giants to do anything on offense, and Dallas should dominate the time of possession.
Prescott and the Cowboys’ offense will be getting the ball back quickly and frequently from their defense, so I think he’ll be able to get to 250 yards here without scoring too many points to jeopardize our under. Something like a 21-3 final feels score like one of the most likely outcomes here.
Check out all our NFL content via our NFL Week 10 Betting Guide
What is a Same Game Parlay?
Check out our guide on what is a Same Game Parlay and where can I bet it?
