NHL Best Bets for Thursday: Expert Hockey Predictions for Today's Playoff Games

.Born and raised in St. Louis. My sports fandom started with my local teams and has only grown broader and broader since day 1. I love having action all around the sports world, but my primary betting interests and handicapping lie with the NHL and MLB. I combine experience playing and coaching those sports with obsession, fandom, observations, trends and more to bring you the most knowledgeable insight possible for your picks. For Ryan Hodges media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
Read more about Ryan Hodges
Google News

What Thursday’s NHL playoff slate lacks in quantity, it more than makes up for in quality. The Wild and Ducks would love nothing more than a series-clinching win in front of the home crowd. Minnesota has not won a series in 11 years, and Anaheim has not won a series in 9 years. Meanwhile, Edmonton and Dallas would not mind pushing for a 3rd consecutive Conference Final matchup. These games would be appointment television.

If you will be tuning in and want to have some action, I have picked out my 2 NHL best bets for the playoff slate on Thursday, April 30, with lines and odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing. Also, be sure to check out our NHL predictions for both games tonight and EVERY game throughout the playoffs.

NHL best bet: Minnesota Wild ML over Dallas Stars (-122)

It feels like this is finally the Wild’s time. More than that, they pass the eye test, too. This version of the Wild just looks different than what their fans have become accustomed to. They have scored an average of 3.6 goals per game through 5 playoff contests, which is more than their regular season average of 3.27. Minnesota has also allowed 2.6 goals per game in the postseason, which is less than their regular season average of 2.87. The Wild are turning things on when it matters, and are doing so against one of the best teams in hockey.

With their Game 5 win, Minnesota is now 5-3-1 against Dallas this year. They have outscored the Stars by 5 and outshot them by 38. The Wild have had the better of the Stars this year, which is something not many other teams in hockey can say. Minnesota also enters this game having won 5 out of their last 6 games played at home as part of a 24-10-9 home record on the year. The Stars are a solid road team, and are obviously an excellent, experienced team in general. They will not make it easy, but expect Wild to get a jolt from their home crowd and advance to the next round. 

Read our full Stars vs Wild Game 6 prediction

NHL best bet: Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks Over 6.5 & Cutter Gauthier over 0.5 points (+106)

This series was widely expected to be all but a formality for the Oilers, and that is far from how things have gone. However, what does still feel like a formality is a high total. The Game 5 final of 4-1 was the lowest combined total of this series and the only under to hit thus far. The average game total in this series is 8.0 goals, and the high scores of this series have reinforced season-long trends. Both teams have solid goal-scoring and are weak goal prevention, and that showed up consistently throughout the year — as the combined over-under record between these teams was 100-68-6. The over always has a great chance in Oilers and Ducks games, let alone in Oilers vs. Ducks games.

Oddsmakers have obviously caught onto this, as the over alone does not have much value now that it has reached 7 at some books and is juiced heavily at 6.5 elsewhere. However, pairing a player prop with it provides a nice same-game parlay. In a matchup that bodes well for offense, Cutter Gauthier has as good of a chance as anyone to get on the score sheet. He has 3 goals and 2 assists in the 5 games played in this series, is on the top line and power play, and has already made a significant impact on this series. That all follows a regular season in which Gauthier scored 41 goals and had 69 points, both of which led the Ducks — this guy is a certified goalscorer and playmaker. Regardless of the winner of this game, Gauthier should have plenty of opportunities to tally another point, contributing to this nice plus-money, 2-leg SGP.

Find out our expert NHL picks for EVERY GAME throughout the entire Stanley Cup Playoffs!

Google News
Stay up to date with the latest picks, odds, and news!
Click here to add us to your Google preferred sources and never miss a story