PLL Top Props: Star player props for Premier Lacrosse League Week 7

Photo of Dan Arestia

Dan Arestia

Lacrosse · 2 weeks ago

Show Bio

Lacrosse betting expert and PLL handicapper for Pickswise.

The second half of the Premier Lacrosse League season gets underway this weekend in Fairfield, CT. A few matchups are rematches from the first half of the year, meaning there’s an opportunity to look at individual performances in those matchups, along with half a season of data, and spot some trends. There is some injury news that can have a major impact, particularly for players like Grant Ament, Lyle Thompson and Trevor Baptiste. This week there are three player props that feature players in their second game against an opponent, which makes them particularly attractive.

Read our PLL picks for every lacrosse game this weekend

Jules Heningburg over 3.5 points (+130)

The Redwoods were happy to see the first half of the season come to an end. As of now, they sit at the bottom of the PLL standings, with just one win and the league’s worst goal differential. They start the second half against Atlas, the current favorite to win the title. In the first meeting between these two teams this year, Atlas won 17-11. Heningburg, however, has been a bright spot for the Redwoods this year, and in that game in particular.

He had five goals in the first outing, attacking from the midfield and creating his own shot well. Heningburg is one of the most accurate shooters in the league, hitting the net a whopping 86% of the time, and shooting 41% on the season. He shoots 41.7% in assisted situations, he shoots 40% in unassisted situations. Heningburg is also, for his career, shooting 63% against Jack Concannon. Going 63% against any pro goalie is remarkable, but against a goalie like Concannon, who is better from closer range — where Heningburg plays — is spectacular.

On top of Heningburg’s elite shooting, it’s likely the Atlas are without MVP candidate and league-best faceoff specialist Trevor Baptiste. In the last game before the break, Baptiste suffered a leg injury that made him nearly unable to walk. He played through it, still fighting for faceoffs, but the injury appeared significant. He was still not fully mobile, walking with a limp at All-Star Weekend. If he needs another week or two to come back, the Redwoods could have a big day getting extra possessions from the stripe.

It would likely be Jakob Phaup, who is a rookie and has yet to take a faceoff this year, against TD Ierlan. Ierlan was among the league leaders in his rookie year, but is at just 48% through the first five games this year. He’s been improving over the last few weeks, putting up his best game of the season against Archers in Week 5. Ierlan has also his regular wings back as John Sexton returned from injury. If Baptiste can go, TD is actually just under 50% against him for his career including a Week 2 matchup last year that saw Ierlan win 62% of draws. Ierlan giving the Redwoods additional possessions means more opportunities for Heningburg to find the back of the net.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Redwoods vs Atlas

Michael Sowers under 3.5 points (+130)

The Waterdogs put up 14 goals last time out against Chrome, and Sowers missed that game due to injury. When he’s healthy, Sowers has proven to be an electric dodger and scorer. His lowest point total this season is three, coming in week one against the Cannons and then again in Week 5 against the Whipsnakes. Chrome presents an interesting matchup. Sowers has six goals on 19 unassisted shots, and only five players in the league have taken more unassisted shots than him. He also is third in the league in assist opportunities, with 22. This all adds up to someone who creates plenty of chances to score on their own, but the under is still attractive in this one.

It’s more than likely Sowers is guarded by JT Giles-Harris or Mike Manley, both of whom are excellent in coverage and are playing to a Defensive Player of the Year level. Manley can play a physical, punishing brand of on-ball defense that is exactly the type of play to disrupt Sowers. JTGH is similar, but also boasts elite footwork and lateral quickness, again making him a good matchup for Sowers. In settled situations, the Chrome are currently the second-best defense in the league; surrendering 29 goals this year on 131 settled possessions. Chrome defense is vulnerable in transition, but transition is exactly where the Waterdogs have been poor, as they scored just 6 goals on 26 fast-break opportunities.

In strength-on-strength matchups like this, games become a grind, using full shot clocks to try and create a quality look. Waterdogs can look to their game plan from their first matchup with Chrome, without Sowers, in which they still scored 14 goals, and return to it. This time, they’ll have Dillon Ward in net and a more confident Zac Tucci facing off. McArdle, Brown, and Kelly can do plenty of damage, and while Sowers will be involved, the Waterdogs can limit the impact of Manley and JTGH by spreading the wealth when it comes to initiations.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Chrome vs Waterdogs

Tom Schreiber over 3.5 points (+105)

In the last matchup with the Cannons, Schreiber feasted. Captain America put up seven points — three goals and four assists — on 10 shots while only committing two turnovers. Schreiber is the league leader in assist opportunities with 27, with them being converted 29% of the time. With shooters like Will Manny and Marcus Holman, Manny being the best in the league and Holman in the top five in assisted shooting percentage, it’s no surprise Schreiber is as productive an assist man as he is. He’s the lethal combination of having the best vision and passing ability from the midfield in the world, and is able to separate from defenders consistently.

Despite the strong SSDM personnel on the Cannons, their poles do not match up well with Schreiber, because nobody does. Cannons defensive possessions end in a goal 32.4% of the time, the second-worst mark in the league. Archers offensive possessions end in a goal 37.2% of the time, the second-best mark in the league.

One possibility for an impact here is the health of Grant Ament. Should the reigning Attackman of the Year be able to go — and it looks like he could get the green light this weekend — it gives the Archers yet another weapon for an already loaded offense. This does not necessarily negatively impact Schreiber’s opportunities, however. Ament has always been a pass-first attackman, and this is an offense built on rapid, precise ball movement to beat you rather than just overpowering you with dodgers.

The Archers have 58 one-point goals and four two-pointers, and 39 assists. The dodge is meant to just unsettle the defense, and that’s when the real attack begins for Archers. Even if Ament is back, Schreiber’s productivity shouldn’t see a dip. Archers could put together a repeat performance of their first matchup in this one, and Schreiber should once again rack up the points.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Archers vs Cannons

Pickswise is the home of PLL Predictions. Check out all of our PLL Picks throughout the Premier Lacrosse League season.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

BetMGM

$200

Get $200 in Free Bets & a PICKSWISE HAT!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline wager on any team

Win $200 in free bets and a FREE Pickswise hat

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$250

Bet One, Get One: FanDuel will match your first bet placed up to $250 in free bets

Sign up for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook

Deposit at least $10 into your account

FanDuel will match your first bet up to $250 in Free Bets!

Must be 21+ in CO. First deposit of at least $10 required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

DraftKings

$100

Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,500

Get up to $1,500 Risk-Free First Bet!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.