Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
NBA
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There are 6 NBA games today with the earliest starting at 5pm EST. The game of the day is easily potential NBA Finals Matchup Milwaukee Bucks (+2.5) vs Denver Nuggets as two MVP finalists square off. If you’re looking for a wild-SGP, look no further than the Indiana Pacers (+9) vs Atlanta Hawks as the game total sits at 242, the highest of the day by a wide margin. Brooklyn heads down to Miami as both teams jockey for seeding in the Eastern Conference standings and are separated by 1 game. Let’s look at my favorite player props for the day, but also check out our NBA picks for Saturday.
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Marcus Morris (LAC) over 9.5 points (+100)
Line available on Caesar’s Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
The Clippers are down Norman Powell and Paul George at the moment, giving rise to start Marcus Morris. He’s averaged 8+ FGA in 4 straight games and topped 30+min in 2 of the L4. Bones Hyland, Eric Gordon, Terance Mann and Russell Westbrook can fight out the logjam in the backcourt, but Morris has little competition as the teams other forward opposite Kawhi. This line is below his season average of 11 PPG and we’re getting it at plus odds. Morris had 10 points against the Pelicans earlier in the season. New Orleans is allowing the 20th most 3PA per game in March, where Morris will look to find his rhythm early. 1U
Nic Claxton (BKN) over 8.5 rebounds (-110)
Line available on BetMGM Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
This is right at this season average of 9.2 RPG and still at his 9.6 RPG post-ASB. The line is at 8.5 due to the opponent: Miami Heat. The Heat are one of the better rebounding teams in the league for the month of March, but Claxton still managed to hit this line in both games this season vs MIA. Claxton’s 17 rebound chances post-ASB make this line ideal, regardless of opponent. 1U
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Brandon Ingram (NOL) under 38.5 PRA (-122)
Line available on Fanduel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Ingram is playing well of late, but this line is still higher than his March average of 37.5 PRA, and he his facing a tough opponent defensively in the LA Clippers. Los Angeles is ranked top 5 in Opp PPG and top 10 in Opp APG for the month of March and are 6-4 over the L10. Kawhi Leonard is starting to morph into the playoff version of himself and it will make Ingram’s night that much more difficult to hit a line already beyond his average. Ingram has yet to play the Clippers this season, but went 1-4 against this line last year vs Lue & Co. 1U
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