Super Bowl LX is set, as the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks will face off on Sunday, February 8, at 6:30 pm ET at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Although these teams were the #2 and #1 seeds in their respective conferences, not many people had them making the Super Bowl at the start of the season. New England was 100-1 entering last year’s offseason, while Seattle carried 60-1 Super Bowl betting odds, but these squads are 2 of the NFL’s best, and there are plenty of players to target when it comes to Super Bowl MVP odds.
Although the award is typically given to a quarterback, there are some intriguing prices for Super Bowl 60 MVP betting odds, so let’s dive into my best bet and one longshot pick. Additionally, make sure you check out all of our NFL picks and Patriots vs Seahawks prediction before the Big Game gets underway!
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Super Bowl 60 MVP odds
As I said above, the Super Bowl MVP is typically given to the winning team’s quarterback, as has happened in 14 of the last 20 Super Bowls. Additionally, 9 of the previous 10 winners were either the winning team’s QB or their leading WR. LB Von Miller (Super Bowl 50) was the last defensive player to win the award. Based on those trends and other factors, here are the 10 players with the shortest odds to win Super Bowl LV MVP, with odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook:
- Sam Darnold +130
- Drake Maye +240
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba +475
- Kenneth Walker III +600
- Rhamondre Stevenson +2800
- Rashid Shaheed +3500
- Stefon Diggs +5000
- Nick Emmanwori +7000
- TreVeyon Henderson +7500
- Marcus Jones +8000
Super Bowl LX MVP best bet: QB Drake Maye (+240)
My best bet when it comes to this year’s Super Bowl MVP is the Patriots QB Drake Maye. Although the sophomore QB hasn’t played his best this postseason, context matters. Maye is the first quarterback to ever face three top 5 defenses in the playoffs and make it to the Super Bowl, and he had to face two of those defenses in snowy conditions. He’ll now go up against Seattle, who was the 6th-ranked total defense and 1st-ranked scoring defense, but I actually think this is a much better matchup for the Pats than it was going up against the Chargers, Texans and Broncos.
LA, Houston and Denver all ranked in the top-7 for passing yards allowed, while Seattle was just inside the top-10, and the Rams just torched their secondary for 374 yards and 3 TDs in the NFC Championship. Additionally, a lot is said about the Patriots’ strength of schedule, but Seattle has also benefited from a softer schedule. They’ve only faced a team with a top-10 passing offense 6 times all season, and each of those matchups came against the Rams and 49ers, so familiarity also helped the Seahawks in those games. Outside of their division, the only strong QBs they played were Baker Mayfield (370 passing yards) and Trevor Lawrence (214 passing yards). I view Maye as a step above Baker and T-Law and expect him to take advantage of this secondary in a game with perfect weather conditions.
The winning team’s QB often wins the MVP, so betting Maye at +240 is slightly better than backing the Pats on the money line (+190), and I’ll have tickets for both selections heading into Super Bowl LX.
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Super Bowl 60 MVP longshot pick: WR Stefon Diggs (+5000)
My Super Bowl LX MVP longshot pick is correlated to my best bet, as I’m also sprinkling on Patriots WR Stefon Diggs to win this year’s Super Bowl MVP at 50-1 odds. The Patriots’ leading wide receiver is making his first Super Bowl appearance in his 11th NFL season, and he knows this is likely his best and potentially last chance at capturing the Lombardi Trophy. Diggs has been kept in check for 3 postseason games thus far, as he’s 11 receptions, 73 yards and 1 TD en route to the Super Bowl. However, I’m expecting a bigger game for him in this one, and he’s shown he can break out when Maye needs him most.
Diggs led the Patriots with 102 targets and 1,013 receiving yards during the regular season, and he had 5 games where he surpassed 100 receiving yards. If you look back at previous WRs who have won the MVP, they needed at least 90 yards in a low-scoring win. Cooper Kupp (92 yards and 2 TDs in a 23-20 win), Julian Edelman (141 yards in a 10-3 win), Santonio Holmes (131 yards in a 27-23 win) and Hines Ward (123 yards in a 21-10 win) have all taken home the award in the last 20 years. Diggs is more than capable of putting up a similar stat line in a low-scoring victory. Therefore, I’ll be placing a small bet on Diggs to win the Super Bowl 60 MVP at 50-1 odds.
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