The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots will square off in Super Bowl 60 on February 8 in Santa Clara, California. It’s the #1 seed in the NFC vs the #2 seed in the AFC, and both teams compiled 14-3 records during the regular season. In other words, this should be a good one.
I have been cashing Same Game Parlays left and right throughout the season, including 2 of my 4 efforts during Week 16 (+650 in Packers vs Bears and +600 in 49ers vs Colts). I also hit a +675 play for Texans vs Chargers in Week 17, while we cashed our Bills vs Jaguars SGP in the wild-card round at +900 odds!
Let’s keep the momentum rolling with my SGP for this 6:30 pm ET kickoff on NBC. Also be sure to check out our full Seahawks vs Patriots predictions. Our experts are up +82.1 units this season!
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Over 49.5 alternate spread (+138)
Kenneth Walker III to record 125+ rushing and receiving yards (+168)
Sam Darnold Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-114)
Drake Maye Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+120)
Parlay odds: +993
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is the entire plan here, as the over obviously works well with Sam Darnold and Drake Maye throwing multiple touchdown passes in addition to Seattle running back Kenneth Walker III having a productive day at the office. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Over 49.5 alternate spread (+138)
There is no denying that these 2 defenses are stout, but I’m rolling with offense in Super Bowl 60. These offenses are no slouches, either. The Seahawks averaged 28.4 points per game during the regular season; the Patriots were even better at 28.8. Darnold has been effective all season long and was especially impressive throughout a 31-27 victory over the Rams this past weekend. Maye is in the MVO discussion. Both quarterbacks are complimented by reliable pass-catchers (in some cases superstars) and solid running games. Seattle has scored 41 and 31 points in its 2 playoff outings. New England hasn’t been close to that level, but it hasn’t been required to do so. When forced to keep with such a dynamic Seahawks attack, the Pats will have to get out of conservative mode and dial up some electricity on offense. Don’t be shocked by an entertaining, back-and-forth battle for the Lombardi Trophy.
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Kenneth Walker III to record 125+ rushing and receiving yards (+168)
Seattle’s backfield was cut in half in the divisional round against San Francisco, when Zach Charbonnet suffered a torn ACL. Unsurprisingly, Walker was up to the task in the NFC Championship as the Seahawks’ lone running back. The Michigan State product delivered 111 yards from scrimmage on 23 touches and also scored 1 touchdown. That was preceded by a 116-yard, 3-touchdown rushing performance against the 49ers. The Patriots’ run defense is good but nothing special, plus they allowed the fifth-most catches to opposing running backs (85) in the regular season. With New England cornerback Christian Gonzalez possibly being able to at least somewhat contain Seattle WR1 Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Walker could be in line for plenty of catches and receiving yards in the Super Bowl.
Sam Darnold Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-114)
Although Walker is more than a capable of shouldering the load, Charbonnet’s absence could really be felt in the red zone. Charbonnet scored 12 touchdowns during the regular season compared to Walker’s 5. Well, those TDs have to go somewhere – especially if this game is going to exceed 49.5 points. Count on Darnold picking up the slack, just as he did with an NFC Championship performance that won’t soon be forgotten in Seattle. The USC product tossed 3 scoring strikes and went for 346 yards, marking the ninth time this season he has thrown for multiple touchdowns. Although the Patriots’ defense is solid, they surrendered 25 passing TDs during the regular season compared to only 11 on the ground.
Drake Maye Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+120)
As mentioned above, the expected game script does not call for conservative football being played by New England’s offense. Look for head coach Mike Vrabel to let it rip with Maye. And why not? This is a bona fide NFL MVP candidate we are talking about (will likely finish second in the voting behind Matthew Stafford). Maye hasn’t done much with his arm in these playoffs (although he did throw 3 TDs against Houston), but that’s because the weather conditions and the matchups didn’t call for it. The story will likely be much different against Seattle in (hopefully) sunny California. If asked to do a lot, Maye can certainly deliver. The former UNC standout finished the regular season with a 31-to-8 touchdown-to-interception ratio and he tossed 8 TD passes in the final 3 games alone.
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