Today’s best NBA prop bet picks & predictions, Monday 10/30: Can Jaylen Brown and DeMar DeRozan cook?
It’s a sports equinox as we have NFL, MLB, NHL and NBA games on the docket tonight, with the highlight for us being an 11-game NBA slate. It is still early in the season and we’re still gathering data but I’ve found a couple of interesting betting spots that I’m laying some money on. Let’s dive into my favorite NBA player prop bets for tonight, but don’t forget to also read our NBA picks for every game as well.
Same Game Parlay: Jaylen Brown 2+ threes & Boston Celtics ML (+110)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing. Recommended 0.50u wager.
This is a 2-leg Same Game Parlay. The Boston Celtics are 2-0 and unsurprisingly have looked like title contenders behind one of the NBA’s best starting lineups. Their backcourt of Jrue Holiday and Derrick White is perhaps the best defensive guard duo in the league and that should be enough to counter the Washington Wizards’ biggest strength — their offensive guard play. Additionally, Washington’s starting center, Daniel Gafford, is questionable and if he were to miss this game, there would be no depth on the team to bring rim protection and good rebounding since the immediate backup bigs would be former Celtics players Danilo Gallinari and Mike Muscala.
If Boston is to get the job done and win the game, they need to get a decent offensive performance and second-option super-max wing Jaylen Brown should be one of the leaders in volume. Brown has had a rough game and a good game so far this season, but what has stayed consistent is Boston trying to get him the basketball. In Game 1, he went 0-for-4 from three and in Game 2 he went 3-for-7 from beyond the arc, and there should be similar volume again today. The Wizards’ defense has allowed the second-most made threes per game to small forwards, fifth-most made threes per game overall, and eighth-most made threes per game from above the break, where Brown takes most of his longshots from. Give us two makes.
Read our expert’s Boston Celtics vs Washington Wizards predictions
DeMar DeRozan (CHI) under 21.5 points (-118)
Line available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing. Recommended 0.50u wager.
The Chicago Bulls have had a rocky start to the season. They are 1-2 with both of their losses being spankings at the hands of retooling teams, with DeMar DeRozan scoring 20 points in each contest. Now, they face an improved Pacers team that is looking to compete for a playoff spot. There is no guarantee Chicago can stay competitive with them for four quarters, especially with Zach LaVine playing through health issues. However, even if they do and DeRozan plays his full minutes, this is a strong under.
This season, DeRozan is averaging 22.0 points per 32 minutes and last season he averaged just around this line in a 32-minute pace (21.4 points) with Zach LaVine in the lineup. Tonight, he gets perhaps his toughest matchup yet against the Pacers. Through their first two games, the Pacers have only allowed three total made field goals out of 16 attempts from the mid-range area, making them the second-stingiest defense in that zone so far. That’s bad news for an offensive player who is almost solely reliant on mid-range production. Fade the veteran on the road on Monday night.
After a +1157 winner last night, don’t miss our expert’s NBA mega parlay at +882 odds