Matthew Lowrimore
UFC 320 takes place on Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. It features a UFC Light Heavyweight title fight between Magomed Ankalaev and Alex Pereira as the Main Event and a UFC Bantamweight title fight between Merab Dvalishvili and Cory Sandhagen as the Co-Main Event. Here are our UFC 320 best bets, which will include 3 fights on the Main Card.
Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC 320 Main Card fights scheduled for Saturday.
UFC 320 Main Card Best Bets
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing
UFC 320 best bet: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira – Fight to go the Distance – No (-150)
The Main Event at UFC 320 will see Magomed Ankalaev take on Alex Pereira. This will be a fight in the UFC Light Heavyweight division and for the UFC Light Heavyweight title. Ankalaev enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-1-1 and 12-1-1 in the UFC. As for Pereira, he enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-3 and 9-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.00 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 62%. Pereira is absorbing 3.50 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling is not nearly as strong, averaging just 0.11 takedowns every 15 minutes. Pereira has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 78%.
Magomedov is the significant favorite to retain his UFC Lightweight title; however, we will be looking for this fight to end inside the distance instead. Pereira has seen 9 of his 11 UFC fights end inside the distance, including 4 of his last 5 UFC fights. As for Magomedov, he has seen 2 of his last 5 UFC fights end inside the distance.
In the most recent fight between Magomedov and Pereira, the fight went the full 5 rounds. However, with this being a rematch, a faster-paced fight should be expected. For that reason, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our play.
You can also find out our UFC 320 parlay picks for Saturday night’s action
UFC 320 prediction: Youssef Zalal -3.5 Over Josh Emmett (-135)
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 320 will see Josh Emmett take on Youssef Zalal. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Zalal enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-5-1 and 7-3-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.07 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Zalal is absorbing 1.80 strikes and has a striking defense of 66%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.09 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.3 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 30% and a takedown defense of 59%.
Zalal is one of the biggest favorites on this card; therefore, we will be looking to back Zalal to cover 3.5 points. He has won each of his last 4 UFC fights, while Emmett has lost 3 of his last 4 UFC fights, with two of the losses coming by decision and by a large margin. Because of this, backing Zalal -3.5 will be our play.
UFC 320 pick: Abus Magomedov vs. Joe Pfyer – Over 1.5 Total Rounds (-145)
The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 320 will see Abus Magomedov take on Joe Pyfer. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Magomedov enters this fight with an MMA record of 28-6-1 and 4-2 in the UFC. As for Pyfer, he enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-3 and 6-2 in the UFC.
Seeing that Pyfer is the clear favorite, we will be looking to back this fight to go over 1.5 total rounds. Pfyer has seen 2 of his last 3 UFC fights go over 1.5 total rounds, while Magomedov has seen each of his last 5 UFC fights do the same. Because both fighters have recently been lasting several rounds, backing this fight to go over 1.5 total rounds will be our play.
Check out the rest of our UFC picks for every main card fight at UFC 320!
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