UFC 323 Predictions, Picks & Betting Odds ft. Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan: Taira Adds Another Signature Win

Tatsuro Taira (red gloves) fights Edgar Chairez (blue gloves) during UFC 290 at T-Mobile Arena.

Matthew Lowrimore

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

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UFC 323 best bet: Tatsuro Taira ML over Brandon Moreno (-130)

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC 323 will see Brandon Moreno take on Tatsuro Taira. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division.

Taira enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-1 and 7-1 in the UFC. He averages 2.87 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. Taira absorbs 2.54 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 3.21 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.7 submission attempts during the same period. Taira has a takedown accuracy of 48% and his takedown defense is 45%. As for Moreno, he enters this fight with an MMA record of 23-8-2 and 11-5-2 in the UFC.

Taira is the small favorite in this fight, but looks to be the best betting option. Moreno has been inconsistent in the UFC as of recently, having won just 2 of his last 4 fights. Taira, on the other hand, has won 3 of his last 4 UFC fights. Moreno does have the advantage in striking volume; however, Taira is a much better grappler and still has solid enough striking to be able to stand up and fight. Given the advantage in grappling and his better form, backing Taira to win will be our play.

You can also find out our UFC 323 parlay picks for Saturday night’s action

UFC 323 prediction: Bogdan Guskov ML over Jan Blachowicz (+110)

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 323 will see Jan Blachowicz take on Bogdan Guskov. This will be a fight in the UFC Light Heavyweight division.

Guskov enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-3 and 4-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.17 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. Guskov absorbs 3.30 strikes and has a striking defense of 45%. He has not shown any grappling ability in the UFC, but does average 1.1 submission attempts every 15 minutes. Guskov also has a takedown defense of 57%. As for Blachowicz, he enters this fight with an MMA record of 29-11-1 and 12-8-1 in the UFC.

Blachowicz is the small favorite in this fight; however, Guskov looks to be the better betting option. Guskov has been in much better form, having won four UFC fights in a row, while Blachowicz has lost 3 of his last 5 UFC fights, with one fight ending in a draw. Guskov also has the advantage in striking volume; therefore, backing Guskov to win will be our best bet.

Check out the rest of our UFC picks for every main card fight at UFC 323!