UFC 324 takes place on Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. It features a UFC Lightweight Interim title fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett as the main event and a UFC Bantamweight fight between Sean O’Malley and Song Yadong as the Co-Main Event. Here are our UFC 324 best bets, which will include 2 fights on the main card, with odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC 324 main card fights scheduled for Saturday, December 6th.
UFC 324 best bet: Natalia Silva Win by Unanimous Decision over Rose Namajunas (-130)
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 324 will see Natalia Silva take on Rose Namajunas. This will be a fight in the UFC Women’s Flyweight division. Silva comes into this fight with an MMA record of 19-5-1 and 7-0 in the UFC. She is averaging 5.04 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Silva is absorbing 2.46 strikes and has a striking defense of 65%. Her grappling is not nearly as good, averaging just 0.34 takedowns every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 25%, and more importantly, her takedown defense is 92%.
Namajunas enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-7 and 12-6 in the UFC. She averages 3.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. Namajunas absorbs 3.38 strikes and has a striking defense of 63%. Her grappling is also formidable, averaging 1.49 takedowns every 15 minutes. She has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 62%.
Silva may be the heavy favorite, but she still looks to be the best betting option. Namajunas is a mediocre 3-3 in her last 6 UFC fights, while Silva is a perfect 7-0. Silva also has the advantage in striking volume and has an elite takedown defense to help with the advantage Namajunas has in grappling. Therefore, with Silva in much better form, backing her to win by unanimous decision will be our play.
You can also find out our UFC 324 parlay picks for Saturday night’s action
UFC 324 prediction: Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva – Fight to go the Distance – No (-125)
The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 324 will see Arnold Allen take on Jean Silva. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Allen enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-3 and 11-2 in the UFC. He averages 3.45 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. Arnold absorbs 2.88 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 0.93 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 47% and a takedown defense of 75%.
Silva enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-3 and 6-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.79 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. Silva absorbs 4.69 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. Silva has been a decent grappler in the UFC, averaging 0.50 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 78%.
Silva is the heavy favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be looking for this fight to end inside the distance. Arnold has only seen 2 of his last 5 UFC fights end inside the distance, but Silva has seen his last 6 UFC fights in a row end inside the distance. Based on Silva’s ability to win or lose by finish, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our play.
Check out the rest of our UFC picks for every main card fight at UFC 324!
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