UFC Fight Night 268: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh picks, predictions and best bets: Kavanagh Puts Himself on the Map

Matthew Lowrimore

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

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UFC best bet: Lone’er Kavanagh ML over Brandon Moreno (+170)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing. Playable to +170.

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 268 will see Brandon Moreno take on Lone’er Kavanagh. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Kavanagh enters this fight with an MMA record of 9-1 and 3-1 in the UFC. He averages 4.29 significant strikes and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Kavanagh absorbs 3.69 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling has been solid as well, averaging 1.79 takedowns every 15 minutes. Kavanagh has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 88%.

While Moreno is the favorite in this fight, Kavanagh could be the best betting option to pull the upset. Kavanagh has the slight edge in both striking volume and grappling compared to Moreno. Further, Moreno has been inconsistent recently, having posted a 5-5 record across his last 10 UFC fights. Of course, Kavanagh is coming off his first career loss; however, with his advantages over Moreno, our best bet will be for Kavanagh to win.

Read our full Brandon Moreno vs. Lone’er Kavanagh prediction

UFC prediction: Daniel Zellhuber vs. King Green – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (-120)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing. Playable to -120.

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 268 will see Daniel Zellhuber take on King Green. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. For this fight, we will be looking for it to go the distance. Zellhuber has seen 6 of his 7 UFC fights go the distance, plus he has never lost in the UFC. Many of Green’s recent UFC fights have ended inside the distance; however, with Zellhuber’s ability to not get finished, our best bet will be for this fight to go the distance.

Read our full Daniel Zellhuber vs. King Green prediction

UFC pick: Imanol Rodriguez Win by Finish over Kevin Borjas (-140)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing. Playable to -140.

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 268 will see Imanol Rodriguez take on Kevin Borjas. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Rodriguez enters this fight with an MMA record of 6-0 and 1-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 9.09 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. Rodriguez absorbs 2.73 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%.

Rodriguez is the massive favorite in this fight; therefore, we will look at the method by which he could win. Though he only has one fight in the UFC, Rodriguez easily won and did so by finish. In fact, he has won all 6 of his MMA fights by finish, 5 of which have been by KO/TKO. Borjas, on the other hand, has lost 2 times by finish in his career. Rodriguez also has the overwhelming advantage in striking volume; therefore, backing Rodriguez to win by any finish will be our best bet.

Read our full Imanol Rodriguez vs. Kevin Borjas prediction