TEN vs BAL Prediction, Odds and NFL Picks for Sunday, 10/04/26

Have the Ravens finally turned a corner? Baltimore has long been mocked for continuing to blow leads late in games, and while the Ravens are certainly not immune to surrendering a lead, last week's dramatic victory over the Cowboys proved that Baltimore could overcome its mistakes and prevail over a solid opponent after trailing late in the fourth quarter. The Ravens still have plenty to work on, but a matchup against the miserable Titans represents a nice opportunity to iron out some issues on both sides of the ball and still pick up a convincing victory at home.

Baltimore has been a very efficient offense all season long, and that should continue this week as Zay Flowers continues to get healthier and ascend as the top target in this offense. It certainly helps matters that Lamar Jackson and company are going against a Titans defense that is 21st in EPA per play on the season, and that's with Tennessee playing a couple of miserable offenses in the Eagles and Giants. Baltimore's rushing attack has been dominant and that gives the Ravens a very high floor for an offense that is averaging 31 points per game this season. On the other side of the ball, the Titans' offense has been absolutely putrid to this point — ranking inside the bottom 10 in EPA per play and EPA per pass. This one should be one-way traffic, so I'll lay it with Baltimore at home.

Titans vs Ravens prediction: Ravens -11.5 (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to Ravens -12.5

I don't have a strong opinion on the total in this game, but I could see a lower-scoring affair in Baltimore. The strength of the Titans' defense is on the interior of the defensive line, and that could halt the Ravens' ground game a bit, especially since Baltimore is dealing with some injuries on the offensive line. Elsewhere, the Titans offense is very poor (22nd in EPA per play, 27th in EPA per pass) and they're also dealing with some injuries at the guard position on the offensive line. All things considered, I can only look toward the under on Sunday.

Titans vs Ravens prediction: Under 42.5 (-104) available at time of publishing. Playable to 42.