Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/11/26

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The Montreal Canadiens hit the road for the short trip to Canada’s capital city to battle the Ottawa Senators in what could be a surprisingly entertaining game north of the border. The Canadiens are currently third in the Atlantic Division, well entrenched in the playoff chase, while the Senators are on the outside looking in, five points out of the final wild-card spot, albeit with a game in hand with the Boston Bruins, and two games in hand behind the Detroit Red Wings. This is the fourth and final meeting, and Montreal has won two of those high-scoring matchups.

We’ve actually had the Over cashed in all three meetings this season, and six straight battles since Feb. 22, 2025. In the most recent meeting, the Canadiens outlasted the Senators 6-5 in overtime at Canadian Tire Centre as short ‘dogs (+100), while we’ve had a total of 48 goals in the past six in the series, or a combined 8.0 goals per game. For the Canadiens, they topped the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-1 on Tuesday behind Jakub Dobes, so Sam Montembeault will be in the crease. The Over is 5-1 in the past six games for Montreal, while the Over is 3-1 in Montembeault’s past four outings. The Over has a 3-2 edge in the past five games for the Sens, too.

Canadiens vs Senators prediction: Over 6.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -130.