Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/04/25

The Tampa Bay Lightning kicked off a three-game Western Conference road trip with a 4-2 win against the Utah Mammoth on Sunday, cashing as short ‘dogs (+100) as the Under (6.5) cashed behind Jonas Johansson. Andrei Vasilevskiy is expected to be back in between the pipes for Tuesday’s game, as Tampa Bay goes for its sixth consecutive win. However, two of the wins are in overtime, and three of the victories have been by a single goal. And, in eight of the past 10 games have been decided by a single goal, so you can expect this to be close.

The Colorado Avalanche were tripped up 3-2 in overtime against the San Jose Sharks Saturday, losing as a giant (-240) favorite as the Under (6.5)4 cashed in Mackenzie Blackwood’s season debut. Like Tampa Bay, the margin of error has been razor-thin for the Avs lately, with five of the past seven games being decided by one goal, going 2-1-4 during the span, with three overtime losses and one setback in a shootout. Tampa Bay swept the regular-season series in 2024-25, outscoring Colorado 13-4, including a 45-3 win in Denver. Tampa has won five of the past six in the series, too. Let’s side with the Lightning lightly in a close one, and it could be rather high scoring.

Lightning ML (+120) at time of publishing. Playable to +115.