Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/17/26

The Tampa Bay Lightning make the first stop on a four-game road trip against the Seattle Kraken on Tuesday night at Climate Pledge Arena. The Lightning are pursuing the Buffalo Sabres, back four points in the Atlantic Division, although Tampa Bay has two games in hand. The Lightning have been scuffling a bit, going 1-3-0 in the past four games, and 2-7-0 across the past nine outings, while the Sabres are 9-1-0 in the past 10 games. It’s not too late for Tampa, but it needs to get going. That could happen in a potentially high-scoring game against the Kraken, who have struggled to stop the puck lately.

Tampa Bay has averaged 4.0 goals per game (GPG) in the past five games, while allowing 4.0 GPG in the same span. The Over is 3-1-1 in the past five games, and 8-2-3 in the past 13 outings. For Seattle, it has won back-to-back games, averaging 5.5 GPG in the two wins over the Florida Panthers and Vancouver Canucks. The Over is 3-1-1 in the past five games for the Kraken, with Seattle averaging 3.4 GPG in the past eight outings, while allowing 4.0 GPG in the past five contests. Let’s go Over on the total, and feel rather confident in doing so.

Over 6 (-115) at time of publishing. Playable to -130.