Soccer Picks

PSG’s rise to the top in Europe has included some spectacular Champions League failures over the years. The closest they’ve come to glory was the forgotten 2020 final, when they lost to Bayern Munich in that disrupted season. Thomas Tuchel went against his top-heavy team to grind out that run, but he was quickly dismissed, and the Parisians remained without the European success they’ve craved. After clearing out their big 3, Luis Enrique has turned PSG into a well-functioning team, prioritizing young players who are hungry to prove themselves over big names who are looking to cash a check. That’s spurred them on to this run to the semis, taking out Liverpool and Aston Villa on their way to the final four. After a string of strong displays, along with landing home advantage for the second leg, many are proclaiming this as PSG’s breakthrough campaign. However, the youthful edge that has been the spark to this run could turn into a problem in this clash with a red-hot Arsenal team.

Real Madrid’s run to the last 8 of the Champions League was met with familiar claims, they even tried to cast an air of invincibility while 3-0 down heading into the 2nd leg. The Spanish side cruised past Manchester City before edging out Atletico, but they fell apart at the Emirates. Outside of a momentary lapse by William Saliba with his team 4-0 up on aggregate in the Bernabeu Stadium, Arsenal hardly gave Real a glimpse at goal across the 2 legs. It was notable how quickly Real’s confidence turned to petulance, with cameras gleefully focusing on Jude Bellingham’s shock and anger over the course of the 2 games. This Arsenal team is a little short of cutting edge in the final third, but they have an attitude that gets under their opponents’ skin. They’ve become a nightmare to play against, while this season has seen them deliver on the biggest stage. The Gunners head into Tuesday’s game having won 7 of their last 8 in the Champions League. The only game they dropped in that stretch came while 7-1 up on PSV, while that run includes a 2-0 victory over PSG in October.

There’s a fear that PSG struggle to deal with Arsenal, while the visitors have tended to go off the boil in this competition once their league campaign has effectively ended. PSG won the French title earlier this month, but they lost their unbeaten record on Friday night despite naming a strong team against Nice. With expectations growing around this PSG side, there’s a concern that their young team could fall short to Arsenal’s resiliency.

Arsenal vs PSG prediction: Arsenal ML (+115) available at time of publishing. Playable to +100.

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Barcelona should head into the first leg of their Champions League semifinal showdown with Inter Milan in a good mood after overcoming bitter rivals Real Madrid in extra time to land the Copa del Rey trophy at the weekend. In contrast, Inter are in the middle of a rough patch and they head to the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys after a run of 3 straight defeats in which they have failed to score. The Nerazzurri looked on course for an incredible campaign at one stage but their run of losses has seen them knocked off the top of the Serie A standings and eliminated from the Coppa Italia. The Champions League is now arguably Inter’s most likely chance to land some silverware this season, but they are the underdogs in this tie. Barcelona haven’t lost a home game in any competition since December, a run stretching 14 games. The Catalan giants have won 11 of those matchups and they can make home advantage count against this struggling Inter team.

Barcelona vs Inter Milan prediction: Barcelona ML (-165) available at time of publishing. Playable to -180.

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Nottingham Forest saw their silverware hopes dashed at the weekend as their FA Cup bid came to an end, but they still have a chance to finish in the top 5 to qualify for the Champions League, and victory over Brentford would see them jump up to 3rd place. The Bees are destined for a mid-table finish and have little left to play for, whereas Forest have a chance to make a bit of history and secure a place in the Champions League for the first time. Brentford are in reasonable form but Forest’s extra motivation gives them the edge. The Tricky Trees went down 1-0 to Everton in their last home game but that ended a 9-game unbeaten run in the Premier League at the City Ground. Nuno Espirito Santo’s team won 7 of those 9 games, and they can make the most of their home advantage here.

Brentford are in reasonable form but with just 1 defeat in their last 5, but they’ve only won 2 of those games and they have just 1 point to show from their last 2 road trips. Brentford have been excellent on their travels since the turn of the year but they have fallen short in trips to the league’s strongest teams. The west Londoners have just 1 point to show from their 5 trips to Forest’s top-6 rivals, so the odds on a home win look good value.

Nottingham Forest vs Brentford prediction: Nott’m Forest ML (+115) available at time of publishing. Playable to +100.

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It all comes down to the Europa League for Manchester United in what has been an abject season, but the Red Devils could be put in their place by Athletic Bilbao at the San Mames. Man Utd have not even been able to push for the top half in the Premier League this season, occupying 14th place with 4 matches left to play. It was always going to be a Herculean task for Amorim to turn things around at Old Trafford and he has struggled to improve the Red Devils since his arrival from Sporting Lisbon. But one small glimmer of hope in an otherwise dreadful campaign has been the Europa League, in which United are yet to lose this season. Manchester United finished a respectable 3rd in the League Phase of the Europa League before taking down Real Sociedad and Lyon in their last 2 knockout ties. The quarter-final triumph over Lyon was, however, anything but straightforward as United has to recover from 4-2 down in extra time to win 5-4. It was an exceptionally entertaining contest but it did not exactly cover United in glory given how they relinquished their initial 2-0 advantage in normal time and their poor defending could come back to haunt them in this encounter.

Under veteran boss Ernesto Valverde, Athletic Bilbao are a seriously tough nut to crack and they have won their 6 Europa League home games by an aggregate score of 14-2 this season. Most recently they have taken down both Roma and Rangers at home and they should have no issues beating United on Thursday. The San Mames will of course host the Europa League final this season, giving Athletic extra incentive to progress from this tie. The Basque club are comfortably nestled inside La Liga’s top 5 – which will secure qualification for next season’s Champions League – so they can attack this tie and are a much stronger unit than Manchester United. They have lost just 5 times in La Liga this season, while they can also boast the best defense in the division with just 26 goals conceded. All things considered, they should be a class above the struggling Red Devils in this one.

Athletic Bilbao vs Man Utd prediction: Athletic Bilbao ML (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable to -115.

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Tottenham have endured a miserable season in the English Premier League but Europa League glory is a very real possibility. Spurs face surprise package Bodo/Glimt in the semifinals and are clear favorites to reach the final. Glimt, the first Norwegian team to reach the semifinal of a European competition, stunned Lazio in the previous round but Spurs’ greater quality should see them avoid an upset – even if the north Londoners are in dreadful form. Tottenham are the heavy favourites to win the game so the best approach here could be backing a home win and both teams to score. Spurs have saved their best performances for this competition — initially that may have been by chance but since the League Phase ended they have clearly been prioritizing Europe. They managed to beat a very good Eintracht Frankfurt team in Germany in the last round, which suggests they can cope with Glimt and make home advantage count on Thursday.

Glimt have lost all 3 of their road games since the knockout stages began and Spurs are unbeaten at home in the Europa League this season, so a home win looks the most likely result. However, Glimt can at least give themselves a glimmer of hope going into the return leg in Norway by getting on the scoresheet. The Norwegian champions have scored in 12 of their 14 Europa League games and Spurs have just 1 clean sheet in their last 13 overall, so goals at both ends looks likely.

Tottenham vs Bodo/Glimt prediction: Tottenham ML & Both Teams To Score (+170) available at time of publishing. Playable to +160.

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Manchester City occupy a top-5 position in the English Premier League standings, but they remain locked in a battle with Newcastle, Chelsea and Nottingham Forest, and the motivation for Champions League qualification should give them the edge when they host Wolves on Friday. The Citizens booked their place in the FA Cup final last weekend and, while their pursuit of the only remaining silverware available to them is important, dropping down into the Europa League would be unthinkable for Pep Guardiola’s team, making the closing stages of the league campaign a high priority for last season’s champions. Man City have found some good form of late, too, winning 6 and tying 1 of their last 7 competitive games, despite the continued absence of Erling Haaland.

Wolves are unlikely to be pushed over, though. Their win over Leicester last time made it 6 wins in a row for Vitor Pereira’s side, although it is worth noting that all of these victories came against teams below them in the standings. The underdogs have nothing substantial to play for in the remaining 4 games of the season, either, making motivation a potential issue if they fall behind. That being said, Wolves have scored in 13 straight games in all competitions and look good value to find the net, giving a wager on both teams scoring plenty of appeal.

Man City vs Wolves prediction: Both Teams To Score (-128) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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