Soccer Picks

There was much excitement that Chelsea could prove to be Arsenal’s closest Premier League challengers after the Blues’ memorable 3-0 Champions League win over Barcelona, but Enzo Maresca’s team has been unable to maintain their push. Chelsea have failed to win their 4 games since that night and they now face a potentially tricky home game, having already been beaten surprisingly by both Brighton and Sunderland at Stamford Bridge. A 3-1 loss at Leeds was a further disappointment, while Maresca could have also done without a loss at Atalanta on Tuesday, so there is a feeling they may be vulnerable to a visit from Everton, who have climbed to 7th in the EPL standings after finding some decent form.

The Toffees were thumped 4-1 by Newcastle in a recent home game, but that defeat may prove to be a blip as they recovered with wins over Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest. They have posted 4 shutouts in their last 5 league games, which should ensure confidence is high. It is also worth remembering that their only league defeats on the road so far have come at Liverpool, Manchester City and Leeds. Everton look good value to get something from their trip to Chelsea.

Chelsea vs Everton prediction: Everton win or tie (+115) available at time of publishing. Playable to +105.

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Scott Parker gets set to lead his struggling Burnley side into battle with one of his former employers, Fulham, and another defeat for the Clarets could leave them in a precarious position in their bid to avoid Premier League relegation. A 2-1 loss at Newcastle last Saturday made it 6 straight defeats for Burnley and leaves them 2nd from bottom, 5 points adrift of safety. However, as well as the Magpies, Burnley have also played Arsenal and Chelsea in that run and they should be much more competitive against an inconsistent Fulham team that has won only 5 of their 15 EPL matches.

The Cottagers were 2-1 winners in their last road game at Tottenham but that is their only success from 7 outings away from Craven Cottage, with them suffering 5 defeats while also being taken to penalties by Wycombe in the EFL Cup. However, home defeats to Manchester City and Crystal Palace have preceded that win at Spurs and Fulham have failed to win on all 8 of their trips to Turf Moor since 2000. A 5-4 loss when hosting Manchester City looks good but the Cottagers were 3-0 down and 5-1 down before the Citizens took their foot off the pedal, and they look tough to trust at odds-on.

Parker has called on his Burnley players to embrace their “horrible” side in a must-win encounter, and they look overpriced to pick up a positive result, especially with home wins over Leeds and Sunderland and a draw with Nottingham Forest showing that they are capable of mixing it with the Premier League’s lesser lights. All 7 of Burnley’s home league games this season have gone under 2.5 goals and another cagey contest would give them a chance of picking up a positive result, something that looks assured given the pressure on Parker.

Burnley vs Fulham prediction: Under 2.5 goals (-134) available at time of publishing. Playable to -140.

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Wolves already look like a lost cause at the bottom of the Premier League table and the last thing that they need, having been starved of confidence, is a trip to leaders Arsenal. Wolves have taken only 2 points from 15 matches, having suffered 13 defeats, and the manner of their performance in Monday’s 4-1 loss at home to Manchester United suggests that Arsenal’s attacking talents could take them to the cleaners. There was a sense of promise in the opening half, but that is because United were wasteful and the Red Devils should have put more gloss on the scoreline after forcing 27 shots, 10 of which hit the target. Wolves have lost all 4 matches since Rob Edwards arrived from Middlesbrough as manager and they failed to score against Crystal Palace, Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest. That doesn’t bode well against an Arsenal defence, while weakened by injuries, that has conceded only 9 times in 15 EPL matches, and it should be one-way traffic at the Emirates.

Mikel Arteta’s team has conceded only 2 goals in 7 home league games and it is hard to see Wolves’ toothless attack get much joy with Jorgen Strand Larsen out of form and severely short on support. The visitors have scored only once in 7 road games – which came in a 1-1 tie at Tottenham – and they will be sweating on the fitness of Jean-Ricner Bellegarde, who limped off but was the one shining light in defeat to Manchester United on Monday. Even so, Arsenal are watertight defensively and the Gunners have won 5 of their last 6 Premier League games with winless Wolves while also recording a shutout.

Arsenal vs Wolves prediction: Arsenal Win in Shutout (-200) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Brentford were expected to struggle this year after forwards Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa left the club along with manager Thomas Frank, but the Bees are holding their own and will be confident that they can beat Leeds on Sunday. Keith Andrews’s side have to bounce back from consecutive road defeats to Arsenal and Tottenham, but their home form remains strong as Manchester City are the only visiting team to beat them this term and a 1-0 victory for the Citizens was not convincing. The team’s proficiency at set-pieces has proved too hot to handle for many and provided a blueprint for many to follow. And, as Newcastle, Manchester United and Liverpool have all found out in defeats this term, the Gtech Community Stadium can be a difficult place to go.

Even teams who have strong away form have struggled at Brentford and that is a warning for Leeds, despite the fact they have boosted their confidence with a win over Chelsea and a 3-3 tie with Liverpool, when they claimed an injury-time equalizer. Those results lifted the Whites out of the relegation zone, but they need to get more out of their away performances if they are to stay there, as their victory over bottom-of-the-table Wolves has been the only road match in which they have earned anything since promotion. Daniel Farke’s side could find the net, but it looks unlikely they will do enough to win, so expect the Bees to come out on top.

Brentford vs Leeds prediction: Brentford ML (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable to -120.

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