Newcastle United vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 09/28/25

Newcastle entertain Arsenal on Sunday but this game could be low on goals. The hosts have scored just 3 goals across their 5 games, but they have been excellent at the other end. Newcastle have only conceded 3 goals, and all of those came in a 3-2 defeat to champions Liverpool. Arsenal are 1 of just 2 teams who have conceded fewer goals than Eddie Howe’s side, and this could be a game where defenses largely come out on top. Arsenal appear primed for another title challenge after taking 10 points from their opening 5 games and they look the more likely winners here, as Newcastle are still looking to find their rhythm in attack after Alexander Isak’s contentious move to Liverpool.

However, the best bet looks to be backing under 2.5 goals given how solid both defenses have been. Newcastle have 4 shutouts in 5 Premier League games and the Gunners have kept 5 in 7 games across all competitions. Recent meetings between these 2 teams have also tended to be low scoring, and under 2.5 goals has landed in 10 of the last 11 meetings across all competitions. Furthermore, at least 1 team has recorded a shutout in 15 of the last 16 head-to-head games.

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