Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/07/26

Real Madrid were able to upset Manchester City in the Champions League Last 16, but their quarterfinal tie with Bayern Munich is an entirely different test. The Bavarians have failed to win only 6 of their 43 matches across all competitions this season, and they’ve won 9 of their 10 Champions League assignments. Vincent Kompany’s side have scored 32 goals across their 10 European games, 10 of which came in their drubbing of Atalanta in the last round. They’re seeking to win the treble for the 3rd time in 13 years, and a disorganized Real side under the watch of interim boss Alvaro Arbeloa could be in trouble.

While Bayern Munich have been superb, they’ve conceded in all 5 of their Champions League trips this season. Brilliant attacking displays have compensated for Bayern’s backline, with the Bavarians managing only 1 shutout across their last 8 matches. The Bundesliga leaders have scored at least 3 times in 8 of their last 9 games, so goals are the way to go against a top-heavy Real side. Vinicius Junior is rounding back into form for the Spanish giants, while Kylian Mbappe is back in the team. They’ve scored 11 times in 3 home European games under Arbeloa’s watch, so both sides can play their part in this one, topping the 3.5-goal line.

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction: Over 3.5 goals (+108) available at time of publishing. Playable to +100.

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