West Ham United vs Brentford Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/20/25

West Ham have only picked up 1 point from their first 2  games under new boss Nuno Espirito Santo, but there are reasons to be optimistic ahead of his debut in the home dugout. The Hammers were comprehensively beaten 2-0 at Arsenal in their last game, but they were fully deserving of a point, if not more, in their 1-1 tie at Everton. While Nuno has only had a couple of games to fix a club that has been directionless for over a year, there are some deeper statistics which suggest they’re doing well. West Ham have forced opponents to take shots from much longer distances than they were under Potter, while their goalkeeper’s save percentage has jumped from 43% in the first 5 gameweeks to above 80%.

Things could get even better for the Hammers this week, as they face a Brentford team that has lost all of its road games so far this season. The visitors were always expected to struggle after Thomas Frank’s departure, but their away form lays bare how vulnerable they look. Brentford lost only 3 times against teams outside the top 6 last season. The Bees have already lost visits to Nottingham Forest, Sunderland and Fulham. A look through their underlying numbers shows a stretch of low-margin games. There have been just 0.4 Expected Goals between the teams in each of Brentford’s first 7 league games. Unfortunately, they’ve lost the xG battle in 5 of those. With West Ham showing signs of improvement at the back, they could also get the better of Brentford.

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