Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 12/27/25

Arsenal are the EPL’s Christmas number 1 but they have lost some of their rhythm in recent weeks to allow Manchester City and Aston Villa to narrow the gap at the top of the Premier League. The lead is just 2 points ahead of Man City going into this week’s games, and Arsenal’s lack of a cutting edge in attack is likely to be a cause for concern for Mikel Arteta. His team remains solid at the back, but the fact that Arsenal’s last 3 goals scored at the Emirates have been handed to them by the opposition highlights the issues plaguing the league leaders, who edged to a 1-0 win at Everton last Saturday in the Premier League. Crystal Palace defender Maxence Lacroix was the latest to put through his own net in Tuesday’s EFL Cup quarterfinal tie with the Gunners, and that match could have taken plenty out of Arsenal’s legs ahead of this visit from Brighton, so a low-scoring home win looks the best bet.

None of Arsenal’s last 7 matches in all competitions have gone beyond 3 goals, so Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals looks a solid bet against Brighton. The Seagulls are winless in their last 4 outings, failing to score in their last 2, and they may struggle to break down Arsenal at the Emirates on Saturday. Brighton have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 meetings with Arsenal and it is hard to see them troubling the Gunners too much here, despite having had a week to prepare.

Arsenal vs Brighton prediction: Arsenal ML & Under 3.5 goals (+110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +100.

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