PSG vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/11/26

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Holders Paris Saint-Germain had to navigate a tough play-off round to reach the Champions League Last 16 and they face a stern test across 2 legs against Chelsea. PSG will be looking for a bit of revenge after defeat to the Blues in last summer’s Club World Cup final, but Chelsea have impressed during Liam Rosenior’s brief spell in charge. The hosts are the favorites to win on the night and to qualify, but the best betting angle for this first leg could be going for a high-scoring clash, and over 3.5 goals looks a strong pick.

There have been at least 4 goals scored in 5 of PSG’s last 7 games across all competitions and in 5 of Chelsea’s last 7. Both of these teams also scored an average of more than 2 goals per game in the league phase, while Chelsea conceded 9 goals across their 4 trips and PSG conceded 6 goals in their 4 home games. With both attacks looking sharp and both defences showing occasional signs of vulnerability, there is the potential for a high-scoring contest at the Parc des Princes.