Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 09/14/25

Burnley will pose a tough tactical problem to Liverpool on Sunday with Arne Slot’s champions unlikely to secure the sort of landslide victory that their pre-match odds suggest. Although there is a feeling of inevitability about the Merseysiders winning games at the moment, this one could be a bigger banana skin than, say, a trip to Old Trafford or the Etihad Stadium would be for them right now. Slot’s team has won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 Premier League road games, although the 3 losses all came when they were so far clear of the chasing pack last season that it hardly mattered. However, as trends go, it is interesting to note given they struggled to put 10-man Newcastle away in their first Premier League road trip of the current campaign.

Slot has built on the foundations Jurgen Klopp laid to make Liverpool more effective in many ways, but teams that sit in and let them have the ball can still cause them problems. 3 of the 4 clubs that had the lowest share of possession in the Premier League last season took points off the Reds. Nottingham Forest took 4 points while Crystal Palace and Everton both secured ties against Liverpool, each of them leaving a blueprint for Burnley boss Scott Parker to follow. The Clarets are unbeaten at home in the league since May 2024 when they were last in the top-flight, but even then they were rarely beaten heavily at home.

Burnley have lost only 1 of their last 6 EPL home games by more than 1 goal and may be able to keep this clash close for long periods. Liverpool will have lots of players returning from international duty at different times this week and that may hinder Slot’s preparations for this Turf Moor trip.

Bet like a Caesar with this AMAZING new customer offer from Caesars Sportsbook. If you bet just $1, you’ll receive DOUBLE YOUR WINNINGS on your next 20 bets! Become a Caesars member 👥 using the Caesars promo code PWCONTENT20X, where you can bet on our Burnley vs Liverpool picks.