Leeds United vs Manchester City Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 02/28/26

Manchester City were pushed all the way by Leeds when they last met at the Etihad in November, and the Whites are unlikely to go down without a fight on Saturday.  ep Guardiola’s side were 2-0 up and seemingly cruising in that game before a spirited 2nd-half Leeds comeback saw Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Lukas Nmecha net twice to level the scores. It took a 91st-minute winner from Phil Foden for the Citizens to pick up all 3 points and things are unlikely to be easy on this trip to Elland Road.

Leeds have only lost 2 of their last 16 games in all competitions, and while they would have liked to have converted a few more of their draws into victories, they are proving to be an exceptionally hard nut to crack. Daniel Farke’s team is 6 points clear of 18th-placed West Ham and could do with a few more wins to add a bigger cushion, but the fact that they are +1200 to be relegated tells a story of how successful the 2nd half of their campaign has been thus far.

Manchester City come into this clash on the back of 7 wins from their last 8 games, closing the gap to league leaders Arsenal to just 5 points with a game in hand on the Gunners. Mikel Arteta’s side face a tricky clash with Chelsea on Sunday, so the Citizens will be desperate to keep up the pressure on their title rivals with another success in this one. They have been remarkably consistent in their recent run, scoring exactly twice in 6 of their last 8 encounters and netting 3 in two of them. Guardiola’s men have failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their last 6 matches, however, and will not get everything their own way against this Leeds side. Both teams have scored and over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams and a repeat of that looks likely here.

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