Arsenal vs PSG Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tuesday, 04/29/25

PSG’s rise to the top in Europe has included some spectacular Champions League failures over the years. The closest they’ve come to glory was the forgotten 2020 final, when they lost to Bayern Munich in that disrupted season. Thomas Tuchel went against his top-heavy team to grind out that run, but he was quickly dismissed, and the Parisians remained without the European success they’ve craved. After clearing out their big 3, Luis Enrique has turned PSG into a well-functioning team, prioritizing young players who are hungry to prove themselves over big names who are looking to cash a check. That’s spurred them on to this run to the semis, taking out Liverpool and Aston Villa on their way to the final four. After a string of strong displays, along with landing home advantage for the second leg, many are proclaiming this as PSG’s breakthrough campaign. However, the youthful edge that has been the spark to this run could turn into a problem in this clash with a red-hot Arsenal team.

Real Madrid’s run to the last 8 of the Champions League was met with familiar claims, they even tried to cast an air of invincibility while 3-0 down heading into the 2nd leg. The Spanish side cruised past Manchester City before edging out Atletico, but they fell apart at the Emirates. Outside of a momentary lapse by William Saliba with his team 4-0 up on aggregate in the Bernabeu Stadium, Arsenal hardly gave Real a glimpse at goal across the 2 legs. It was notable how quickly Real’s confidence turned to petulance, with cameras gleefully focusing on Jude Bellingham’s shock and anger over the course of the 2 games. This Arsenal team is a little short of cutting edge in the final third, but they have an attitude that gets under their opponents’ skin. They’ve become a nightmare to play against, while this season has seen them deliver on the biggest stage. The Gunners head into Tuesday’s game having won 7 of their last 8 in the Champions League. The only game they dropped in that stretch came while 7-1 up on PSV, while that run includes a 2-0 victory over PSG in October.

There’s a fear that PSG struggle to deal with Arsenal, while the visitors have tended to go off the boil in this competition once their league campaign has effectively ended. PSG won the French title earlier this month, but they lost their unbeaten record on Friday night despite naming a strong team against Nice. With expectations growing around this PSG side, there’s a concern that their young team could fall short to Arsenal’s resiliency.

Arsenal vs PSG prediction: Arsenal ML (+115) available at time of publishing. Playable to +100.

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