UFC Fight Night 290 Best Bets: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan
UFC Fight Night 290 is scheduled for Saturday, October 10th, at the META Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event will feature a UFC Middleweight Division fight between Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan in the Main Event. Below, I have my best bets for UFC Fight Night 290 -- both of which will include fights on the Main Card.
In addition to my best bets for this event, be sure to check out all of our UFC Fight Night 290 predictions
UFC Fight Night 290 Best Bet: Christian Leroy Duncan ML over Brendan Allen (+105)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing. Playable to +105.
The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 290 will see Brendan Allen take on Christian Leroy Duncan. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight Division. Duncan enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-2 and 8-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.45 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 57%. Duncan absorbs 2.36 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging just 0.43 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 20%, and his takedown defense is 57%.
For this fight, we will be looking for Duncan to pull off the small upset. Duncan appears to be in better form, as he is 5-0 in his last 5 UFC fights, while Allen is 3-2 in the UFC over the same stretch. Further, Duncan has the advantage in striking volume, while also having a strong takedown defense to mitigate the advantage Allen has in grappling. Additionally, Duncan absorbs far fewer strikes compared to Allen. For that reason, backing Duncan to win will be our best bet for Saturday's Main Event.
Check out our full Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan prediction
UFC Fight Night 290 Best Bet: Andre Fili ML over Kai Kamaka III (-142)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing. Playable to -142.
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 290 will see Andre Fili take on Kai Kamaka III. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight Division. Fili enters this fight with an MMA record of 25-14 and 13-13 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.89 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 37%. Fili absorbs 4.55 strikes and has a striking defense of 49%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.24 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 46%, and his takedown defense is 71%.
For this fight, we will be looking for Fili to win. Most notably, Fili has not been very consistent in the UFC recently. That said, Kamaka III has been even more inconsistent. Kamaka III does have the advantage in striking volume, but Fili has the advantage in grappling, which could be the difference. For that reason, backing Fili to win will be our best bet for Saturday night.
Check out our full Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III prediction
