UFC 316: Mario Bautista vs. Patrick Mix Prediction for Saturday, 06/07/25

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 316 will see Mario Bautista take on Patrick Mix. This will be a fight in the UFC Bantamweight division. Bautista enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-2, and he is 9-2 in the UFC. He averages 5.33 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. Bautista is absorbing 3.91 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 1.92 takedowns every 15 minutes and 0.9 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 33% and a takedown defense of 66%.

Mix enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-1 and will be making his official UFC debut here. Despite not having fought in the UFC yet, Mix has had a successful career so far and has won 15 times by finish. His only loss was by decision, and that was nearly five years ago in September 2020.

Despite Mix making his UFC debut, he is a heavy favorite and looks to be a solid option to start his UFC career with a win. Mix has shown a ton of finishing ability, especially on the ground, where he has 13 wins by submission. Bautista has won 7 fights in a row, but has not always been the best at defending takedowns. For that reason, backing Mix to win will be our lean.