UFC 318: Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez Prediction for Tomorrow, 07/19/25

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC 318 will see Kevin Holland take on Daniel Rodriguez. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Holland enters this fight with an MMA record of 28-13 and 16-10 in the UFC. He averages 4.24 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Holland absorbs 3.11 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling is decent, averaging 0.81 takedowns every 15 minutes. Holland has a takedown accuracy of 39% and a takedown of 55%.

Rodriguez enters this fight with an MMA record of 19-5 and 10-4 in the UFC. He averages 7.39 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Rodriguez absorbs 5.39 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. He also has decent grappling, averaging 0.55 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 54%, and his takedown defense is 63%.

Holland is the significant favorite in this fight, so we will be targeting for the fight to end inside the distance. Rodriguez has seen 3 of his last 5 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Holland has seen 4 of his last 5 UFC fights do the same. Based on the high finish rate for both fighters, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our lean.