UFC 318: Roman Kopylov vs. Paulo Costa Prediction

UFC 318: Roman Kopylov vs. Paulo Costa Prediction for Tomorrow, 07/19/25

Smoothie King Center
Tomorrow

UFC 318: Roman Kopylov vs. Paulo Costa Pickswise Expert Predictions

Money Line Pick
Kopylov Win(-238)

The Co-Main Event at UFC 318 will see Paulo Costa take on Roman Kopylov. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Costa enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-4 and 6-4 in the UFC. He averages 6.22 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. Costa absorbs 6.56 strikes and has a striking defense of 49%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging 0.36 takedowns every 15 minutes. Costa has a takedown accuracy of 75% and a takedown defense of 80%.

Kopylov enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-3 and 6-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.96 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Kopylov absorbs 4.86 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling is decent as well, averaging 1.17 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 42% and a takedown defense of 87%.

Kopylov is the heavy favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the best betting option. Costa has been inconsistent recently, going 1-4 in his last 5 UFC fights, while Kopylov is 4-1 over the same stretch. Based on this, backing Kopylov to remain in good form and win will be our lean.

Photo of Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
Read more about Matthew Lowrimore
Pickswise
*
By signing up you agree to our terms and privacy policy