UFC 319: Geoff Neal vs. Carlos Prates Prediction for Today, 08/16/25
UFC 319: Geoff Neal vs. Carlos Prates Pickswise Expert Predictions
The third fight on the Main Card at UFC 319 will see Geoff Neal take on Carlos Prates. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Neal enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-6 and 9-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.05 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. Neal absorbs 5.44 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging just 0.56 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 87%.
Prates enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-7 and 5-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. Prates is absorbing 4.79 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 48%. He has shown little grappling ability, averaging just 0.25 takedowns every 15 minutes. That said, he has a takedown accuracy of 100% and a takedown defense of 83%.
Prates is the heavy favorite in this fight, but still looks to be worth a small bet. He has been much more consistent in the UFC, having lost just once, while Neal has lost 2 of his last 3 UFC fights. Because of the current form shown by both fighters, backing Prates to win will be our lean.
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Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 319 Parlay at +189 odds: Featuring Dricus Du Plessis vs. Khamzat Chimaev and Geoff Neal vs. Carlos Prates
UFC 319 takes place on Saturday at the United Center in Chicago, Illinois. It features a UFC Middleweight title fight between Dricus Du Plessis and Khamzat Chimaev as the Main Event. Here are my favo...
