UFC 319: Lerone Murphy vs. Aaron Pico Prediction for Saturday, 08/16/25
UFC 319: Lerone Murphy vs. Aaron Pico Pickswise Expert Predictions
The Co-Main Event at UFC 319 will see Lerone Murphy take on Aaron Pico. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Murphy enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-0-1 and 8-0-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.53 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. Murphy absorbs 2.48 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling is solid as well, averaging 1.45 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 54% and a takedown defense of 52%.
Pico enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-4, and he will be making his UFC debut here. He has a total of 11 finishes in his career so far, while 3 of his 4 losses have also been by finish.
Pico is the clear favorite in this fight, but given that he has not fought in the UFC before, Murphy looks to be a solid betting option to pull the upset. Murphy is also perfect in his UFC career, and has excellent striking and grappling. For that reason, backing Murphy to win and pull the upset will be our best bet.
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Matthew Lowrimore
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