UFC 319: Tim Elliot vs. Kai Asakura Prediction for Tomorrow, 08/16/25

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 319 will see Tim Elliot take on Kai Asakura. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Elliot enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-13-1 and 9-11 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.39 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. Elliot absorbs 2.66 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 3.73 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.0 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 47% and a takedown defense of 59%.

Asakura enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-5 and 0-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.40 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. Asakura absorbs 4.52 strikes and has a striking defense of 38%. He has not yet shown any takedown ability, but has a takedown defense of 57%.

Asakura is the clear favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be targeting this fight to go over 2.5 rounds. Elliot has seen 6 of his last 7 UFC fights go over 2.5 rounds. Asakura only has one UFC fight, a fight that ended in the second round; however, we expect him to last much longer in this fight against an opponent who has not had a ton of success recently in finishing opponents. For that reason, backing this fight to go over 2.5 rounds will be our best bet.